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			 1 THE COSMIC CALENDAR
 
				
					
					What seest thou else In the dark backward and abysm of time?
 WM. SHAKESPEARE
 
					The Tempest  
			 THE WORLD is very old, and human beings are very young. Significant 
			events in our personal lives are measured in years or less; our 
			lifetimes in decades; our family genealogies in centuries; and all 
			of recorded history in millennia. But we have been preceded by an 
			awesome vista of time, extending for prodigious periods into the 
			past, about which we know little - both because there are no written 
			records and because we have real difficulty in grasping the 
			immensity of the intervals involved.  
			 Yet we are able to date events in the remote past. Geological 
			stratification and radioactive dating provide information on 
			archaeological, paleontological and geological events; and 
			astrophysical theory provides data on the ages of planetary 
			surfaces, stars, and the Milky Way Galaxy, as well as an estimate of 
			the time that has elapsed since that extraordinary event called the 
			Big Bang - an explosion that involved all of the matter and energy in 
			the present universe. The Big Bang may be the beginning of the 
			universe, or it may be a discontinuity in which information about 
			the earlier history of the universe was destroyed. But it is 
			certainly the earliest event about which we have any record.
 
			 The most instructive way I know to express this cosmic 
			chronology is to imagine the fifteen-billion-year lifetime of the
			universe (or at least its present incarnation since the Big Bang)
			compressed into the span of a single year. Then every billion 
			years of Earth history would correspond to about twenty - four 
			days of our cosmic year, and one second of that year to 475 
			real revolutions of the Earth about the sun. On pages 14 
			through 16 I present the cosmic chronology in three forms: a 
			list of some representative pre - December dates; a calendar for 
			the month of December; and a closer look at the late evening of 
			New Year’s Eve.
 
			  
			 On this scale, the events of our history
			books - even books that make significant efforts to deprovincialize the present 
			- are so compressed that it is
			necessary to give a second - by - second recounting of the last 
			seconds of the cosmic year. Even then, we find events listed as 
			contemporary that we have been taught to consider as widely 
			separated in time. In the history of life, an equally rich tapestry
			must have been woven in other periods - for example, between 
			10:02 and 10:03 on the morning of April 6th or September 16th. But 
			we have detailed records only for the very end of the cosmic year.
			 
			 
			The chronology corresponds to the best evidence now 
			available. But some of it is rather shaky. No one would be 
			astounded if, for example, it turns out that plants colonized the
			land in the Ordovician rather than the Silurian Period; or that 
			segmented worms appeared earlier in the Precambrian Period 
			than indicated. Also, in the chronology of the last ten seconds 
			of the cosmic year, it was obviously impossible for me to 
			include all significant events; I hope I may be excused for not 
			having explicitly mentioned advances in art, music and literature or 
			the historically significant American, French, Russian and Chinese 
			revolutions.
 
				
				PRE - DECEMBER DATES 
				 
					
					
					Big Bang ~January 1 
					
					Origin of the Milky Way Galaxy ~May 1 
					
					
					Origin of the solar system ~September 9 
					
					
					Formation of the Earth ~September 14 
					
					
					Origin of life on Earth ~ September 25 
					
					
					Formation of the oldest rocks known on Earth ~October 2 
					
					
					Date of oldest fossils (bacteria and blue 
					- green algae} 
			~October 9 
					
					Invention of sex (by microorganisms)~ November 1 
					
					
					Oldest fossil photosynthetic plants ~November 12 
					
					
					Eukaryotes (first cells with nuclei) flourish ~November 15
					 
				DECEMBER 31 
					
					
					Origin of Proconsul and Ramapithecus, probable ancestors of apes and 
			men ~ 1:30 P.M.
					
					First humans ~ 10:30 P.M.
					
					Widespread use of stone tools ~11:00 P.M.
					
					Domestication of fire by Peking man ~11:46 P.M. 
					
					
					Beginning of most recent glacial period ~11:56 P.M. 
					
					
					Seafarers settle Australia 11:58*.M. 
					
					
					Extensive cave painting in Europe ~11:59 P.M.
					
					Invention of agriculture ~11:59:20 P.M.
					
					Neolithic civilization; first cities ~11:59:35 P.M. 
					
					
					First dynasties 
			in Sumer, Ebla and Egypt; development of astronomy~11:59:50 P.M.
					
					Invention of the alphabet; Akkadian Empire ~11:59:51P.M.
					
					urabic legal codes in Babylon; Middle Kingdom in Egypt ~11:59:52 
			P.M. 
					
					nze metallurgy; Mycenaean culture; Trojan War; Olmec culture: 
			invention of the compass ~11:59:53 P.M. 
					
					Iron metallurgy; First Assyrian Empire; Kingdom of Israel; founding 
			of Carthage by Phoenicia ~11:59:54 P.M. 
					
					Asokan India; Ch’in Dynasty 
			China; Periclean Athens; birth of Buddha ~11:59:55 P.M.
					
					Euclidean geometry; Archimedean physics; Ptolemaic astronomy; Roman 
			Empire; birth of Christ ~11:59:56 P.M. 
					
					Zero and decimals invented in 
			Indian arithmetic; Rome falls;
			Moslem conquests - ~11:59:57 P.M.
					
					Mayan civilization; Sung Dynasty China; Byzantine empire;
			Mongol invasion; Crusades ~11:59:58 P.M.
					
					Renaissance in Europe; 
			voyages of discovery from Europe and from Ming Dynasty China; 
			emergence of the experimental method in science ~11:59:59 P.M.
					
					Widespread development of science and technology; emergence of a 
			global culture; acquisition of the means for self - destruction of the 
			human species; The first steps in spacecraft planetary exploration 
			and of the search for extraterrestrial intelligence. ~ Now: first 
			second of New Year’s Day. 
			 The construction of such tables and calendars is inevitably
			humbling. It is disconcerting to find that in such a cosmic yearthe Earth does not condense out of interstellar matter until
			early September; dinosaurs emerge on Christmas Eve; flowers
			arise on December 28th; and men and women originate at 10:30
			P.M. on New Year’s Eve. All of recorded history occupies the last 
			ten seconds of December 31; and the time from the waning of the 
			Middle Ages to the present occupies little more than one second.
 
			  
			 But 
			because I have arranged it that way, the first cosmic year has just 
			ended. And despite the insignificance of the instant we have so far 
			occupied in cosmic time, it is clear that what happens on and near 
			Earth at the beginning of the second cosmic year will depend very 
			much on the scientific wisdom and the distinctly human sensitivity 
			of mankind.  
			  
			
			
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