Greenwire excerpts
After the news conference, and as
diplomats gathered for the climate conference president's
assessment of how close countries are to agreement, Lord
Christopher Monckton
quietly slipped into the seat reserved for the delegation of
Myanmar and clicked the button to speak.
"In the 16 years we have been
coming to these conferences, there has been no
global warming," Monckton said as confused murmurs
filled the hall and then turned into a chorus of boos.
The stunt infuriated negotiators and
activists here who gather every year to address what they
believe is one of the world's top threats, the steady rise of
man-made global warming.
As Monckton was escorted from the
hall and security officers stripped him of his U.N. credentials,
several people noted that just a few hours earlier a group of
young activists had been thrown out of the convention center and
deported.
Their crime: unfurling an
unauthorized banner calling for the Qatari hosts to lead the
negotiations to a strong conclusion.
By late today, several activists
attending the conference had posted calls to "deport Monckton"
on their Twitter feeds.
End Greenwire excerpts
UK Daily Mail
'Global warming stopped 16 years
ago' according to UK Met Office 'quietly released' report -
'Pause' in warming lasted about same time as when temps
rose, 1980 to 1996'
'The new data, compiled from
more than 3,000 measuring points on land & sea, was issued
quietly on internet, without any media fanfare, & , until
today, it has not been reported. This stands in sharp
contrast to release of previous figures 6 months ago, which
went only to end of 2010 - a very warm year... From
beginning of 1997 until August 2012 there was no discernible
rise in aggregate global temps.'
UK Daily Mail
'Claim that there has been any
statistically significant warming for past 16 years is
therefore unsustainable' - Reaffirms 'a 16-year 'pause' in
rising temps'
'Two new separate peer-reviewed
studies, published in prestigious academic journals last
week [challenged 'Hockey Stick']
'The level of warmth during the
peak of the MWP in the second half of the 10th Century,
equaled or slightly exceeded the mid-20th Century warming.'
'There was also a pronounced
warming period in Roman times'
Flashback 2011
A PNAS peer-reviewed admission
that 'global surface temperatures did not rise between 1998
and 2008'
Prof. Judith Curry on 16 year global temps
'Nothing in Met Office's
statement... effectively refutes [UK Daily Mail] Rose's
argument that there has been no increase in global avg.
surface temps for past 16 years'
Curry defends UK Daily Mail
article:
'How does this refute Rose's
argument? No statistically significant positive trend,
and it makes it look like [warmist Skeptical Science]
hasn't done their homework with the latest data'
Prof. Curry
'I think Rose's 2nd article is
well done. He lays out arguments the other 'side' is making,
& provides his response. It is a reasonable portrayal of
debate surrounding this issue'
'The trend since 1997 is
very small, much smaller than the decadal trend of 0.2°C
that we have been led to expect by the IPCC for the
early part of the 21st century...'
Analysis on 16 year 'pause' in global warming
'Regarding the significance of
the period from 1997, recall that Dr. Ben Santer claimed 17
years was the period needed'
'They find that tropospheric
temperature records must be at least 17 years long to
discriminate between internal climate noise and the signal
of human-caused changes in the chemical composition of the
atmosphere.'
MIT Professor Richard Lindzen
said something similar in a WUWT guest post: 'There has been
no warming since 1997 and no statistically significant
warming since 1995.'
Lüning/Vahrenholt On HadCRUT's 16 Years Of No
Warming
'Tough Times Ahead For Climate
Science'
'It turns out that everything
that had been suspected was confirmed'
'This is a completely unexpected
development when one considers how all the boldly confident
forecasts from the IPCC predicted more warming. The release
of new HadCRUT figures occurred almost in absolute silence,
without any media buzz whatsoever...
One really has got to wonder
that Jones has suddenly extended his personal threshold of
pain to 20 years, and now claims that phases of no warming
15-16 years long had always been expected.'
Prof. Judith Curry: 'The data confirms existence of a 'pause' in
warming'
'The natural variability has
been shown over past 2 decades to have a magnitude that
dominates greenhouse warming signal'
'It is becoming
increasingly apparent that our attribution of warming since
1980 and future projections of climate change needs to
consider natural internal variability as a factor of
fundamental importance.
I sincerely hope that the AR5
provides an assessment of what we know and what we don't
know and areas of disagreement, rather than trying to
manufacture a consensus.'
New Phil Jones quote: 'We don't know what natural
variability is doing' - 'We don't fully understand how to input
things like changes in the oceans'
'...and because we don't fully
understand it you could say that natural variability is now
working to suppress the warming. We don't know what natural
variability is doing..'
Climategate's Phil Jones 'insisted that 15 or 16
years is not a significant period: pauses of such length had
always been expected, he said' in 2012
'Yet in 2009, when the
[temperature] plateau was already becoming apparent and
being discussed by scientists, Jones told a colleague in one
of the
Climategate emails:
'Bottom line: the 'no upward
trend' has to continue for a total of 15 years before we
get worried.'
'In other words, though 5 years
ago he seemed to be saying that 15 years without warming
would make him 'worried', that period has now become 20
years'
Flashback 2009: Prof. Pielke Jr.
'Kudos to NOAA for being among
the first to explicitly state what sort of observation would
be inconsistent with model predictions - 15 years of no
warming'
'The UK Met Office says world has warmed by 0.03
deg C per decade since 1997 ... But what the Met Office
doesn't say is that this is statistically insignificant'
'There is no case to be made for
a statistically significant increase in global temperatures
as given in the Hadcrut4 dataset between 1997 and August
2012. The Met Office says the 15-year standstill is not
unusual. This is true but again the Met Office is being
economical with the truth'
NOAA's '15 year statement' from 2008 puts a
kibosh on the current Met Office 'insignificance' claims that
global warming flatlined for 16 years
'Yet, today, we see evidence of
the goalposts being moved again as the Met Office tries to
paint this lack of warming 'plateau' as being
insignificant... So we are at 16 years, soon to be 17 years.
What happens when we hit 20
years? Either the models are worth something or they aren't.
In this case it seems they aren't'
UK Met Office: CO2 causes warming - other factors
cause cooling
'We have known for some time
that [multi-decadal oceanic cycles] may act to slow down or
accelerate observed warming trend'.
'We also know that changes in
the surface temperature occur not just due to internal
variability, but are also influenced by 'external forcings',
such as changes in solar activity, volcanic eruptions or
aerosol emissions.
Combined, several of these
factors could account for some or all of the reduced warming
trend seen over the last decade - but this is an area of
ongoing research'
Analysis: Global Warming Standstill Confirmed:
'There is now no consistent
increase in temperature seen in this data. The data,
displayed this way, reveals that far from showing a steady
underlying rate of warming the global temperature has had
two standstills, with curiously, the 1998 super El Nińo
delineating them.'
Flashback 2010: Oh My! 2010 tied for 'hottest' year?!
Relax, it is 'purely a political
statement'. Even NASA's Hansen admits it is
'not particularly important'
Prof. mocks 'hottest decade'
claim as 'a joke'
'Claims based on year-to-year
temperature data that differs by only a few HUNDREDTHS of a
degree'
Watch Now:.
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