by J.C. Goliathan
from
CyberSpaceOrbit Website
Image:
Wyoming InfraRed Observatory
7/30/03
The author believes the nuclear events reported here to be
very unlikely and only remotely possible, but just as an asteroid
impact with earth is remotely possible (and widely researched and
reported on), the Jupiter impact issue deserves exposure also,
because there is compelling evidence to suggest the feasibility of
at least a temporary Jupiter ignition.
Given the potential
consequences of this, serious research is warranted. The author is a
Geographer and Engineer, not a physicist. Further research is needed
by more qualified individuals.
The following two excerpts are from recent press releases from NASA
and Sky and Telescope Magazine concerning the Galileo Spacecraft:
"The Amalthea encounter was Galileo’s final flyby. The spacecraft
has nearly depleted its supply of the propellant needed for pointing
its antenna toward Earth and controlling its flight path. While
still controllable, it has been put on a course for impact into
Jupiter next September. The maneuver prevents the risk of Galileo
drifting to an unwanted impact with the moon Europa, where it
discovered evidence of a subsurface ocean that is of interest as a
possible habitat for extraterrestrial life." 1
"To eliminate any potential that the spacecraft could someday
contaminate Europa, a moon that may harbor primitive life, Galileo
will be directed to fall into Jupiter's atmosphere on September 21,
2003, when it will plunge into the Equatorial Zone at 48 km per
second." [Approx. 107,000 mph] 2
The Galileo Spacecraft is powered by two different means, its thrust
propellant, used for trajectory adjustments, and its main power
supply for running instruments.
The latter is 238Pu, or
Plutonium-238. This 238Pu is what is known as a radioisotope, or
radioactive isotope, which becomes physically hot from its own
radioactive decay. This heat is converted into electricity by a
thermoelectric converter. At time of takeoff the spacecraft
contained more than 48 lbs. of Plutonium-238 dioxide fuel within 144
one-inch diameter x 1½ inch long cylindrical pellets.
Each pellet
has about 1/3 lb. of plutonium fuel, most of which is plutonium and
a small amount being oxygen. In addition, there are some minor
amounts of 238Pu for other heater areas. The pellets are divided
into two even groups of 72, each group within an RTG (Radioisotope
Thermo-electric Generator) of which there are two on the spacecraft.
Each is mounted on a 16-foot boom that extends away from the other
instruments to prevent their malfunction. 3
NASA has never before attempted to crash an RTG into a hostile
atmosphere. Not everything is known about Jupiter’s composition,
pressures, and temperatures.
Table of Elements in the Fuel Cylinders at Time of Galileo’s Takeoff
from Earth
Element |
Symbol |
Melting Point |
Core: Plutonium-238 dioxide
(ceramic form) |
238PuO2
|
1183° F |
Uranium-234 from alpha decay of Pu
|
234U |
2075° F |
Helium-4 gas from alpha decay of Pu
|
4He |
na |
Enclosure: Iridium (cylinder
casing) |
192Ir |
4435° F |
Carbon (floating graphite
membrane) |
12C |
6422° F at top of core
|
Note: Some of the above elements may now be ionized (missing an
electron) due to high levels of radiation near Jupiter that the
craft has been exposed to for several years. Also other isotopes of
the above elements, including 239Pu are likely present now.
See
under "Concerns Among Some Physicists".
Elements present in the Atmosphere of Jupiter
Jupiter is mostly composed of hydrogen and helium, in various gas,
liquid, and metallic forms. The inner core may be composed of a
somewhat solid rocky material. The average density of Jupiter is
much less than that of Earth, but the pressure in the atmosphere of
Jupiter, and below it, is intense.
The probe that Galileo launched
into the atmosphere relayed data for about an hour. At that point it
was overcome by pressure exceeding 23 times that of Earth at sea
level at only 125 miles in.
Towards the core of Jupiter it is
estimated that the pressure could be millions of times that of Earth
at sea level.
"Jupiter's atmosphere consists of about 81 percent hydrogen and 18
percent helium. If Jupiter had been between fifty and a hundred
times more massive, it might have evolved into a star rather than a
planet. Our solar system could have been a binary star system,
meaning that we would have two suns. Besides hydrogen and helium,
small amounts of methane, ammonia, phosphorus, water vapor, and
various hydrocarbons have been found in Jupiter's atmosphere."
4
"Jupiter has similar relative abundance of hydrogen and helium to
the Sun itself. However, its core temperature…is too low a value to
trigger nuclear fusion." 5
Concerns Among Some Physicists
The plutonium cylinders in the RTG’s of Galileo may act as Implosion
Weapons and a fission to fusion "trigger". (Diagram B)
Implosion Weapon: A weapon in which a quantity of fissionable
material, less than a critical mass at ordinary pressure, has its
volume suddenly reduced by compression, so that it becomes
supercritical, producing a nuclear explosion. 6
Tom Van Flandern’s summary of "Planetary Explosion Mechanisms"
states the following:
"Indeed, nuclear fission chain reactions may provide the ignition
temperature to set off thermonuclear reactions in stars (analogous
to ignition of thermonuclear bombs)." 7
While 238Pu is fissionable, it has been advertised as not fissile,
or in others words this would mean it can produce a fission reaction
that is difficult to sustain, but a 1962 test proved Pu-238 to be
very fissile:
"The Department of Energy is providing additional information
related to a 1962 underground nuclear test at the Nevada Test Site
that used reactor-grade [Pu-238 and Pu-240] plutonium in the nuclear
explosive.
Specifically:
-
A successful test was conducted in 1962,
which used reactor-grade plutonium in the nuclear explosive in place
of weapon-grade [Pu-239] plutonium.
-
The yield was less than 20
kilotons. Background: This test was conducted to obtain nuclear
design information concerning the feasibility of using reactor-grade
plutonium as the nuclear explosive material.
-
The test confirmed
that reactor-grade plutonium could be used to make a nuclear
explosive. This fact was declassified in July 1977. …
In short it
would be quite possible for a potential proliferator to make a
nuclear explosive from reactor-grade plutonium using a simple design
that would be assured of having a yield in the range of one to a few
kilotons, and more using an advanced design." 8
The Nuclear Control Institute (NCI) stated that reactor-grade
plutonium could be more desirable for a simple bomb because it
eliminates the need to use a neutron initiator. 9 In addition to
these facts, note the following in a report entitled "Plutonium-238,
Use, Origin and Properties":
"If Pu-238 sits in the reactor long enough, it will absorb a neutron
and become Pu-239 fuel." 10
Of course, Pu-239 is very fissile and capable of a sustained
reaction. In fact, it is the key component of most nuclear bombs.
Since Galileo was launched in 1989, we know that its Pu-238 will
have been sitting in the RTG reactors for at least 15 years by
September 2003, maybe longer if the fuel cells were created
beforehand. In an analysis of whether the fuel cylinders contain
fissionable as well as fissile elements, we have to conclude that it
is very possible.
It has already been well demonstrated that a fission reaction can be
sufficient to ignite a fusion reaction (i.e. the Hydrogen Bomb). A
fission reaction generates high enough temperatures (about 35
million degrees Kelvin) to reach the critical point required for a
fusion reaction. This, how-ever, does not necessarily mean that a
fusion reaction will occur.
The right elements (various isotopes of
hydrogen) must be present or created, so it is assumed. We do know
that Jupiter is mostly composed of hydrogen, but we are unsure of
the details or if fusion and fission reactions would work exactly
the same on Jupiter as on Earth. Since we don’t know everything
about Jupiter yet, it is hard to predict the effect of Jupiter’s
radiation, high pressures, and intense heat on the fuel cylinders at
entry into the atmosphere.
However, conventional belief says that
Deuterium and Tritium (isotopes of Hydrogen) are necessary to
accomplish fusion. Both may be present or created during a reaction
within the dense liquid hydrogen of Jupiter.
We do know that implosion is what will occur to the fuel cylinders
at some point in the impact. If the final implosion collapse of the
cylinders happens suddenly enough, it would simulate an
explosive-initiated implosion, the method normally used in a
plutonium nuclear bomb.
Questions
-
How far could the craft travel into Jupiter, and how far would
the craft have to travel into Jupiter’s atmosphere for a fission
implosion to occur?
The plutonium pellets aboard are protected against unexpected
pressures (not Jupiter’s atmospheric pressures though).
Since the
craft will be traveling so fast (107,000+ mph), the pressure will
increase suddenly. The upper crust of Jupiter’s atmosphere is
gaseous hydrogen and helium about 600 to 700 miles thick (2% of the
radius of the planet), followed by a more liquid substance of the
two, and much further in, a more metal version (so it is guessed).
At only 125 miles down the pressure is already 23 bars (Galileo
would go from 1/2 bar to 23 bars in 4 seconds). If the craft is
traveling at 107,000+ miles/hr, and the pellets (not the craft) last
20 seconds in Jupiter’s hostile atmosphere before imploding, they
would have traveled approximately 500-600 miles inward if one
accounts for the craft slowing down after entry. This is about the
thickness of the more gaseous part of the atmosphere (this is
assuming a perpendicular entry).
At this point, the pressure would
be in the thousands of bars because the increase is exponential, not
to mention the temperatures generated at this speed would be
tremendous. The pressure gradient would be even steeper if the craft
were to enter an area of high pressure such as the giant red spot.
All that is required for fission from implosion to occur is for the
final collapse of the graphite/iridium shell around the plutonium to
happen quick enough to prevent a fizzle, (a fizzle is a reaction
that turns it into a dud). Since there are 144 separate cylinders,
there are many chances to achieve a proper implosion and if one
proper implosion occurs, it will be a catalyst for other successful
ones.
The heat generated by entry into the atmosphere is most certainly
intense enough for all of the elements present to not only reach
melting, but also boiling temperatures within several seconds.
Needless to say, all sorts of chemical reactions would be possible.
The fuel cylinders would travel deeper into Jupiter than the rest of
the craft because they are designed to withstand intense heat and
pressure.
-
Would Jupiter be able to keep a fusion reaction going? If so, how
long?
It may be that a fusion reaction is not possible because the proper
hydrogen isotopes won’t be plentiful enough or conditions will be
too chaotic or the fission reaction can’t be sustained long enough.
I would assume that subsequent fusion reactions could be kept going
indefinitely, if conditions are right, or there may be one small
explosion that fizzles out shortly thereafter, much like a small
comet event.
Since we don’t know everything about Jupiter’s makeup
or the possible reactions of the elements, something completely
unexpected may happen. I am still asking questions and getting a
wide variety of responses from physicists.
I phrase the question
like this:
-
"Theoretically, what would happen to a lake of dense
liquid hydrogen and helium if a fission bomb were detonated inside
it, assuming no other significant elements were present above,
below, or in the lake?"
Often, I get the response,
They usually backtrack when I
tell them my true question, because, admittedly, the situation is
more complex than that.
-
Is NASA aware of the possibility of a reaction?
I am sure they have considered it, and I am also suspicious that
they might have planned it.
The reason I say this, is it seems
strange that such a weak excuse was given for not sending the craft
out to deep space, especially since early in the Galileo mission
planning on Earth, they said that a Jupiter impact would not happen.
Some argue that the craft is caught in Jupiter’s pull now, but with
all of the gravity assist tricks available, and still some
propellant left, the craft should be able to break free even if they
had to use an assist of one of the larger moons. At this moment the
craft is making a tremendous loop out into space in order to speed
up for the slam into Jupiter.
It was once rumored that an elite group known as the JASON Group was
working on turning Jupiter into a small star. The possibility is
intriguing because the name sounds like J-sun or Jupiter-sun. A
possible reason for doing this is that making Jupiter a star will
create more favorable conditions on Jupiter’s moons for future
research (if it doesn’t destroy the moons somehow, it certainly
would thaw them out).
Jupiter and its moons would be like a
mini-solar system. Europa may be the big prize, being one of the few
bodies in the solar system to have an abundance of water. Europa
would be almost balmy with Jupiter as a star and Hoagland’s idea of
searching for life under the ice sheet would become much more
plausible.
In addition to this, Mars would receive some solar
radiation from a Jupiter-sun when the two were relatively close.
Another odd point to mention is the long delay of sending Galileo
into Jupiter. Its extended mission was over 3 years ago. The craft
was originally scheduled to go in December 31, 1999 and was called
off in the last days.
Did NASA find out something that delayed the
entry?
-
Would a Jupiter-sun affect Earth significantly, and how soon?
It takes roughly between 35 and 55 minutes for light from Jupiter to
reach Earth depending on their relative positions to each other.
On
September 21st the distance will be about 52 minutes. Radiant heat
also travels at the speed of light. We would see the impact and feel
the radiant heat simultaneously, 52 minutes after the event.
Based
on solar energy formulas Earth would receive about ½ to 1 Joule per
second per m2 depending on how far we were from Jupiter (the range
is 4.2 to 6.2 AU), which could be enough to change the balance of
temperatures on Earth slightly. (the Sun supplies 1370
Joules/second/m2)
Jupiter would be 1500-2500 times less bright than
the Sun as seen from Earth (100 times less in absolute luminosity).
According to recent research into the speed of gravity propagation,
it is measured at millions of times the speed of light. It may be
possible to measure minute gravity alterations in an ignition, (such
as in the 10% mass cast-off prediction – see "Protostar Theory")
that could be detected almost instantly on Earth.
-
Where will this event be visible from Earth, if it occurs?
Unless the date and time changes, the craft is impacting Jupiter on
September 21, 2003 at about 2:38pm EDT, image reaching earth at 3:30
(Jupiter is visible pre-dawn from Japan to Australia at this time).
Early September occurs shortly after the next conjunction of
Jupiter-Sun-Earth (when Jupiter is obscured by the Sun), and Jupiter
will start to become visible again just before dawn around September
1st.
Look in the eastern sky, low to the horizon, right under the
constellation Leo. The entry of the craft will be completely
unnoticeable if no reaction occurs. If Jupiter ignites, however, a
tremendous flash or series of flashes would be seen. (the actual
impact would have taken place 52 minutes prior due to speed of light
lag).
Jupiter is visible for 1 to 2 hours in the early morning in
September, 2003. (See Diagram A) For daytime viewing, Jupiter would
only be visible if it ignites (majority of viewers).
Important: The
Shoemaker-Levy comet event created enormous explosions, but no
fissionable material was present to cause a nuclear reaction so the
explosion temperatures (at max. 7000ºC) were not high enough to
cause a fusion reaction (35,000,000ºC required).
Plutonium Facts
Plutonium:
-
radioactive transuranium element that is important as an
ingredient in nuclear weapons and as fuel for nuclear reactors
-
produced by deuteron bombardment of uranium-238 in a cyclotron
-
also
exists in trace quantities in naturally occurring uranium ores
-
16
known isotopes [one of these is 238Pu, Plutonium’s normal weight is
244]
-
first detected in 1940 by Glenn
T. Seaborg, Joseph W. Kennedy, and Arthur C. Wahl 6
Properties of Plutonium
-
Symbol Pu
-
Atomic number 94
-
Atomic weight 244
-
Group in periodic
table IIIb
-
Boiling point 5,850° F (3,232° C)
-
Melting point
1,183.1° F (639.5° C)
-
Specific gravity 19.84
Protostar Theory
An important note to ponder: J. Marvin Herndon and V.K. Konovalov in
studies independent of each other have proposed that Jupiter,
Saturn, and Neptune are already undergoing a thermonuclear process
in their cores.
They use the evidence that these planets currently
emit much more energy than they absorb, among other telltale signs.
11 12
Konovalov, a Russian physicist, goes as far as to say that
these planets, especially Jupiter, have the potential to ignite into
stars at any time, and that to avoid the problem of Jupiter’s
"reject of matter" disturbing Earth in an untimely ignition, an
artificial ignition could be planned when the Earth’s positional
orbit is at a tangent to Jupiter in order to minimize the effect of
a its mass ejection cast-off. 11
If this theory is correct and
Jupiter is ignited on September 21, Earth, despite being in the
correct position, would still intercept a not-so-nice ejecta of more
than 900 trillion pounds of Jupiter’s hydrogen and helium 13 weeks
later, (around mid-to-late December) traveling at maximum 100km/sec
and lasting for possibly several days (the lighter mass would arrive
earlier). In my off-the-record discussion with Tom Van Flandern, he
stated that a volley of this sort would wipe out most life on Earth
above ground, a mass-extinction event.
It was very fortunate for NASA, when it was learned that a comet was
going to impact Jupiter in July 1994, (Shoemaker-Levy 9), just as
the Galileo craft was arriving in the vicinity to record the impact.
(What are the odds?! ) I am sure the information was useful in
guiding the Galileo probe, which launched from the spacecraft in
July 1995 to explore Jupiter’s atmosphere directly, and also may
have been useful for planning the spacecraft impact September 2003.
The Galileo spacecraft, launched from space shuttle Atlantis in
1989, has already completed 34 orbits of Jupiter while studying its
systems, the small moon of Amalthea being the most recent mission.
The 35th and final orbit/mission that few expected will conclude in
an impact with Jupiter.
Star: A self-luminous, gaseous, celestial body of great mass which
produces energy by means of nuclear fusion reactions, whose shape is
usually spheroidal, and whose size may be as small as Earth or as
large as Earth’s orbit. 13
"The goal of fusion is in effect, to produce and hold a small star.
It is a daunting and tedious research which is considered to be the
most advanced in the world." 14
*It is possible that NASA will move the impact day up unannounced as
to avoid responsibility, so be watching in Aug/Sep
References
1 http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/galileo/news/release/press021125.html
2 http://skyandtelescope.com/news/current/article_460_1.asp
3 http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/galileo/messenger.oldmess/RTGs.html
4 http://galileo.jpl.nasa.gov/jupiter/atmos.html 5 The Henry Holt Guide to Astronomy, David Baker, 1990 USA
6 Compton’s Interactive Encyclopedia, 1999 7 http://www.metaresearch.org/solar%20system/eph/eph2000.asp
8 http://www.ccnr.org/plute_bomb.html 9 http://www.nci.org/../pr/pr9199.htm
10 http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/dlv/pu238.htm
11 http://www.new-physics.narod.ru/pagesEng/70e.htm 12 http://nuclearplanet.com/eos_paper.htm
13 Merriam-Webster’s Collegiate Dictionary – Tenth Edition
14 http://www.monarchnote.com/basementpapers/papers/stack14_10.html
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