by Edwin Mora
AFP via Getty Images
contagious novel coronavirus
but is less
citing a new
On Saturday, the
reported that the fact that the illness caused by the
across the United States could be "good news."
"If millions of
people were infected weeks ago without dying, the virus must be
less deadly than official data suggest," the magazine
determined, using graphs to suggest the faster the disease
spreads and hits its peak, the fewer people will die.
a new study by Justin Silverman
and Alex Washburne that used data on influenza-like
illness (ILI) to show that the coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) is now
widespread in America.
Washburne found that the coronavirus mortality rate could be as low
0.1 percent, "similar to that of flu."
20-25 days to kill victims.
and Washburne] paper reckons that 7m Americans were infected
from March 8th to 14th, and official data
show 7,000 deaths three weeks later.
fatality rate is 0.1%, similar to that of flu.
That is amazingly low, just a tenth of some other estimates.
Perhaps it is
just wrong, possibly because the death toll has been
though, New York's hospitals are overflowing because the virus
is so contagious that it has crammed the equivalent of a
year's worth of flu cases into one week.
The death rate
could be higher given that people with asymptomatic or mild
coronavirus likely failed to report non-flu influenza-like illnesses
to their doctors, the magazine acknowledged.
Washburne reportedly gleaned their data from weekly reports by 2,600
American doctors on the number of their patients who have ILI,
the Economist explained, adding:
assume that the share of these providers' patients with ILI
who do have the flu matches the rate of flu tests that are
positive in the same state and week.
This lets them
estimate how many people have ILI seriously enough to
call a doctor, but do not have the flu - and how many more
people have had non-flu ILI in 2020 than in prior years.
Of course, the flu
is often the cause of ILI, but there many other ailments that
produce influenza-like illness, including,
and now coronavirus...
The new study's
coronavirus death rate estimate is much lower than what Dr.
Anthony Fauci, the director of the U.S. National Institute of
Allergy and Infectious Diseases and member of the White House
Coronavirus Taskforce, predicted in
"If you look at
the cases that have come to the attention of the medical
authorities in China, and you just do the math, the math is
about two percent," Fauci said.
A study from
Britain published at the end of last month in the medical journal Lancet
Infectious Diseases also
found that fewer people are dying from the novel coronavirus
than previously estimated.
estimated the coronavirus death rate could be as low as 0.66 percent
and as high as 1.38 percent. Fauci's estimate is higher than both
The coronavirus has
infected over 560,000 people and killed nearly 23,000,
across all 50 states,
the District of Columbia, Guam, Puerto Rico, the Northern
Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands,
Johns Hopkins University tracker
showed as of Monday afternoon.
COVID-19 turning out to be...
Huge Hoax perpetrated by Media
by Joseph Curl
Joseph Curl covered the White House and politics for a
decade for The Washington Times.
can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org and on Twitter @josephcurl.
Media Virus Illustration
Groesch/The Washington Times
hyped the virus
Americans to the point
of shutting down
When the postmortem is
done on the media's coverage of COVID-19 (and it will be), it will
be clear that the virus was no Black Plague it's not even the flu on
a bad year.
SARS-CoV-2, which causes COVID-19, has killed 56,749 Americans as of
That's not good. But it's not as bad as the 2017-2018 flu season,
when 80,000 plus perished.
And it's a long cry from
what all the experts were warning about just a few weeks ago:
First, they predicted
1.7 million Americans dead.
Then they redid the models (this
time apparently entering a few more "facts") and said
Now, a major model relied on by the White House Coronavirus Task
Force predicts about 70,000 dead by the end of August.
And for that we shut down
the U.S. economy?!
As the coronavirus swept across China, then Europe, then everywhere,
the U.S. media breathlessly reported every terrifying number, almost
Their ratings soared, of
course, as they scared the hell out of every American, many of whom
have stayed home for the last 40 days, emerging only to buy toilet
paper, but even then clad in masks and tiptoeing in fear.
But here are some facts...
A recent Stanford University antibody study estimated the fatality
rate from the virus is likely 0.1% to 0.2%.
The World Health
had estimated that the death rate was 20 to 30 times higher and
called for isolation policies.
On which version do you
think the media focused?
In New York City, the
U.S. epicenter of the pandemic, the death rate for people 18 to
45 years old is 0.01%, or 10 per 100,000 in the population.
People aged 75 and
older, though, have a death rate 80 times that.
For children under
18, the rate of death is zero per 100,000. That's zero...
Health and Age
More than half of the COVID-19 deaths in Europe occurred in
long-term care or nursing-home facilities.
At least one-fifth of the
deaths recorded in the U.S. so far have occurred there.
Nearly all the patients hospitalized for the coronavirus in New York
City had underlying health conditions, according to a recent study.
"Health records from
5,700 patients hospitalized within the Northwell Health system
which housed the most patients in the country throughout the
pandemic showed that 94 percent of patients had more than one
disease other than COVID-19, according to the Journal of the
American Medical Association," Fox News reported.
The study found,
others suffered from a variety of ailments.
Far More Widespread
Millions and millions of Americans have already been infected with
the virus even though the U.S. media continues to report the low
numbers provided by Johns Hopkins, which says that 998,000 Americans
have contracted the virus as of Tuesday.
An antibody study was conducted last week in New York City and found
that 1 in 5 (21.2%) of residents have already been infected with the
There are 8.5 million people in New York City, so that
would mean 1.8 million New Yorkers have had the virus.
At the time of the study, there were 16,249 deaths in the city
attributed to COVID-19, which means the death rate in the city was
0.89% at the time far lower than reports in the U.S. media.
Results of antibody survey last week in Los Angeles found as many as
442,000 Los Angeles County residents might have already been
infected with the coronavirus by early April, a number far higher
than the 8,000 cases confirmed at the time.
The survey suggested that
the death rate from the virus could be as low as 0.18% of COVID-19
patients, which means the actual death rate in the city is far lower
The Daily Mail reported Monday that,
"coronavirus may kill
70 times fewer patients than official UK death figures suggest,
studies have shown."
The Mail said a similar
fatality rate 0.19% was found in a study of residents in Helsinki,
A study, this one by Dr. Justin Silverman, estimates that,
there were 8.7
million coronavirus infections in the U.S. between March 8 and
And as of April 17,
10% of Americans have been infected which is roughly 33 million
The media has been hyping
COVID-19 since Day One, alarming Americans to the point where they
voluntarily went along with shutting down the entire economy a
mistake that will likely reverberate for a decade or more.
Even as U.S. states begin to re-open based on the data, which shows
a far lower fatality rate than reported and a much wider spread of
the media continue to report on
what they deem 'frightening numbers' over the deadly virus...
They aren't, and it isn't.
COVID-19 is a bad flu
And the media should
be held accountable for telling us otherwise before they
knew the facts...