by Daniel Clark
January 30, 2014

from TheNewsTribe Website




Pakistan has been included in the list of 40 countries having risks of coup in 2014 and residing on the 14th position released by Jay Ulfelder, a famous political scientist who also blogs.


A famous political scientist, Jay Ulfelder’s mathematical model which forecasted about expected ‘coups’ across the World in 2014, while the Max Fisher has posted the list in Washington Posts on January 28.


Pakistan has been placed on the 14th position in the list while its neighboring country Afghanistan is on 12th.


Jay Ulfelder’s have maintained the coups’ lists since last three years stated that 40 countries are on the list 10 were more prone to risk mostly belong to sub Saharan Africa except Thailand.


Ranking has been finalized on basis of country’s political history, present political, social and economic situation prevailing in the countries.







Top 20 countries; likely to face coup in 2014

  1. Guinea

  2. Madagascar

  3. Mali

  4. Equatorial Guinea

  5. Niger

  6. Guinea-Bissau

  7. Sudan

  8. Central African Republic

  9. South Sudan

  10. Thailand

  11. Somalia

  12. Afghanistan

  13. DRC

  14. Pakistan

  15. Haiti

  16. Egypt

  17. Chad

  18. Ecuador

  19. Mauritania

  20. Cameroon






The 40 countries most at risk for a coup in 2014 (Jay Ulfelder)

Courtesy Washington Posts


Rest of countries (21-40) in the list include:

  1. Togo

  2. Myanmar

  3. Lesotho

  4. Republic of Congo

  5. Ethiopia

  6. Ivory coast

  7. Iraq

  8. Nigeria

  9. Algeria

  10. Papua New Guinea

  11. Swaziland

  12. Rwanda

  13. Nepal

  14. Angola

  15. Burkina Faso

  16. Libya

  17. Mozambique

  18. Georgia

  19. Gabbon

  20. Yemen

There were two coups seen in last year including Mali and Guinea-Bissau, the two West African countries that Ulfelder had rated as particularly high-risk, whereas, his model for 2013 hadn’t even included Eritrea in the top 30 most endangered.