by Geoffrey Pohanka
July 2013

from IsThereGlobalCooling Website

 

 

 

I will try to give you the answer to the question: "is there global cooling?"

 

As you are well aware there is a huge effort around the globe to counter the alleged impact of mankind on the world's climate.  If in fact mankind will cause the seas to rise appreciably by causing CO2 induced global warming then certainly let's do something about it.

 

But, what if global warming is not what they say it is? What if the world's temperature is headed in the opposite direction? 

 

Global temperatures increased for twenty years from the late 1970s to the late 1990s but have either stopped warming or have begun to cool in the last fifteen years.  The global warming and subsequent cooling were even predictable due to hundreds of years of historical trends and observation of the impact of variations in solar activity on global temperature.

 

Did you know that in the past the Roman Period and Medieval Period were both several degrees warmer than today's temperature?

 

The world then cooled at least four degrees from approx. 1450 to 1850. This period was called the Little Ice Age (a period of glacial advance, the same glaciers that have been in retreat until recently).

 

These temperature variations were not caused by man. They were caused entirely by natural forces.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Quick facts about the...

U.S. and Global Climate, Global Cooling News
 

 

 

U.S. and global Temperatures are not warming
 

  • March '12 - Oregon and Washington break all time March snowfall record link. Bering Sea has second largest March ice extent on record link.

     

    Record breaking March cold in Tasmania Australia link. Huge snowfall in China kills 90,000 livestock and impacts 25,000 people link. First quarter 2012 was very warm in the USA link.

     

     

     

    Over 15,000 Records Broken as March 2012 Becomes Warmest on Record

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

  • April '12 - Sydney, coldest day in 80 years link. May '12 UK on track for coldest May in 200 years link.


     

  • June '12 - Sweden has one of the coldest Junes since records began in 1789 link. Rare cold in New Zealand link. Argentina agrigulture frosts lead to crisis link. Seattle has third coldest June in history link.


     

  • July '12 - climate emergency in Argentina due to cold, a dozen freeze to death in Chile. Tasmania has record low temperatures link. August '12 South Africa, snows in all 9 provinces for first time in recorded history link. September '12 Antarctic sea ice extent is largest ever recorded for this day, eighth highest record in history link.

     

    Antarctica sea ice area is the largest ever recorded on Sept 12, 2012 link.


     

  • October '12 - Earliest snow in Australia in a century link. Record cold grips part of Australia link. Surprise October snow hits central Germany link. Heavy snow catches Muscovites unprepared link. For only the second time in recorded history do all the provinces of Austria have snow in October link.


     

  • Nov '12 - early cold snap kills 14 in Poland link. Hurricane Sandy causes record snowfall in Appalachians link. Three tourists die from cold on Great Wall of China from early snow link.

     

    Winter hits early on three continents, global cooling? link. Northeast USA has record snowfall link.

     

    Record snow around USA link. Globe to be seized by record cold, UK faces coldest Winter in 100 years, Arctic sees record refreeze, snow in New Zealand link. Connecting the global cooling dots link.


     

  • Dec '12 - Russians near Moscos trapped for days on highway during snowstorm link, back-up over 125 miles long link. UK has coldest Autumn since 1993 link. European deef freeze killing hundreds. link.

     

    Record snow in Norway, signs of global cooling? link. Record snow in Minneapolis link. State of emergency declared in Ukraine due to huge snows, more global cooling? link. 37 dead in 24 hours in Ukraine freeze link.

     

    Russia faces strongest winter in decades, -50°C temperatures, people freezing to death link. Severe global cooling grips Eastern Europe, over 600 die from cold, state of emergency declared in Siberia link.

     

    Dozens die in Polish global cooling snap link. -61 deg F in Siberian global cooling link. Massive cold front grips Asia link

     

    North India cold wave kills 25 link. Brutally cold Russian winter claims 125 lives, so far link. Coldest Russian Winter in decades, snow up to 16 feet deep link. US has the most snow cover in ten years link.

     

    December 2012 had the largest Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent ever recorded link.


     

  • January '13 - Asia gripped with record cold, hundreds dead. Bangladesh has coldest temperatures since 1960s link. Russia burried under snow link. 29 die from cold in Mexico link. Bermuda has record daily low temperature link. Over 300 die from brutal cold in Eastern Europe link.

     

     

  • February '13 - New England snow could be one for the record books link. German winter temperatures are dropping at a rate of 6°C per century link. Alps cooling since 2000 (peer reviewed literature) link. Record New England snows link.

     

    Heaviest snowfall in a Century hits Moscow link.

     

    Northern Hemisphere has all time low temperature link. Japan has worst Winter snow in history link. Last 4 out of 5 Winters were cooler than normal link. Germany has darkest Winter in 43 years link.


     

  • March '13 - Calcutta has coldest day in 100 years, record low temperatures link. Winter 2012-2013 November-February ranked 4th largest for snow in history, #2 for Northern hemisphere, December '12 had most snow ever link.

     

    UK in deep freeze, deaths from cold mounting link. Arctic sea ice largest in a decade link. UK faxes gas rationing as shortages mount with coldest weather in 50 years link. UK cold chaos link. Second coldest March in USA since 1969 link. Berlin has coldest March in 100 years. gripped by cold link

     

    UK coldest Spring since 1963, claims 5,000 lives link. Germany coldest Spring on-record link. Germany has late March temp of -33°C,  coldest temperature in over 100 years link. Climate models fail to predict brutally cold European temperatures link.

     

    Thousands of animals buried alive in Ireland by snow drifts link.


     

  • April '13 - Russian scientists say Earth will cool until 2050 and temperatures will decline 1.5°C link. Baltic sea ice sets record for month of March link. Saskatchewan has coldest Spring in a century link. 40,000 livestock killed by snow in Ireland link.


     

  • May '13 - First May snow in Arkansas ever recorded link. Record snow storm hits Midwest link. Antarctic sea ice sets all time record ice extent for this day link. Ice break up at Nenana Ice Classic in Alaska sets latest date in 97 years of records link.

     

    Record late snow hits Newfoundland link. Northern Hemisphere snow cover sets record for November-April time period link. UK headed towards coldest spring in 30 years link.

     

    Northeast USA gets up to 36 inches of snow during Memorial Day, Syracuse and Binghamton NY have latest snow on record link. Geramany has coldest Spring since 1970 link. 79% of USA temperatures are below average first five months of 2013 link.

     

    Alaska has longest snow season on record link. Vermont has latest snow since 1897 link.


     

  • June '13 - French ski resort on Spanish border to open in June for first time in history link. Coldest Spring in UK since 1891 link. Capetown South Africa, earliest snow in many years causes emergency to be declared link.

     

    Europeans reacting to cool European summer weather, chance of surface frost in Germany for late June link. 33,000 sheep and cattle stranded in New Zealand deep snow link.


     

  • July '13 - Extraordinary cold hits southern third of South America link. Chinese wheat crops are devastated by cold and wet weather link. Heavy snows batter New Zealand link. Global cooling sweeps through southern half of South America link. First major snow hits Buenos Aires since 1918 link. Record low temperatures in Chile link.


The best and most accurate way to measure global temperatures are from satellites that measure atmospheric temperatures. See how atmospheric temperatures have changed since the start of measurement in 1979 link.

 

Though the 2011/12 Winter temperatures were warm in the U.S. global temps were the 11th coolest in 32 years of satellite measurement link.
 

 

 

 

Total global polar sea ice extent is largely unchanged over the past 30 years

 

When adding the sea ice volumes at both poles there is about the same ice as 30 years ago:

 

 

 

 

Antarctica has 90% of the world's ice and had the most sea ice ever recorded at the end of 2008, over one million square kilometers above the average maximum. 

 

The global sea ice extent today (combined sea ice at both Poles) is nearly the same as the average of the last 30 years according to NASA and NSIDC:

 

 

 

 

View today's Antarctic sea ice extent compared to the 1979-2007 average (National Snow and Ice Data Center):

 

 

 

 

A strong storm in the Arctic during the late Summer of 2012 caused the Arctic ice area to shrink to a record low yet the ice is now expanding at a fast rate. The Bering Sea off Alaska in 2012 had the most ice area ever recorded link

 

The Antarctic sea ice extent in September 2009 is also growing and is 1 million square kilometers more than the previous year. In September 2012 Antarctica had the largest sea ice extent ever recorded link.

 

View today's Arctic sea ice extent, NSIDC (below image), DMI link.

 

 

 

 

View today's Antarctic sea ice extent Univ. Illinois Cryosphere (below image). 2010 Antarctic ice extent was the third largest ever recorded. Average snowfall in Antarctica was the most ever recorded link.

 

 


 

See current ice conditions in the Northern Hemisphere and the Southern Hemisphere:

 

 

 

 

Find out what really impact Arctic sea ice melting link.
 

 

 

 

Ocean temperatures are cooling

 

NSIDC/NASA AMSR-E also shows that the overall trend of ocean temperatures since 2002 is one of cooling in spite of a recent short lived El Niņo warming event:

 

 


 

The oceans have been cooling which is contrary to climate model predictions:

 

 

 

 

See how Argo is measuring ocean temperatures throughout the globe link

 

Argo research (with its 3,300 ocean buoys) has found ocean temperatures are cooler link.
 

 

 

 

The PDO (Pacific) is moving towards a cool period (La Niņa). See current ocean surface temperatures from the NOAA link, link
 

Track mid Atlantic storm formation here, NOAA link

 

 

 

 

Global storms and their intensity are in decline

 

The trend for violent tornadoes is in decline in the US:

 

 

 

 

U.S. landfall hurricanes are less numerous and powerful than decades ago. Global hurricane, typhoon, and cyclone activity are nearing 50 year lows according to Florida State University link.

 

Deaths from severe weather events are in decline:

 

 


 

Global cyclone activity is at 33 year lows at the end of the 2010 hurricane season. Pacific storms lowest since recording began in 1945 link.
 

There have been few hurricanes to reach US shores in the past three years which is highly unusual link. The U.S. went over 1,000 days in a row without a single hurricane strike.

 

Global hurricane (tornado) activity in 2010 was at the lowest level in three decades even though 2010 was a warm year overall link.

 

U.S. tornado activity in 2012 was at the lowest level ever recorded according to NOAA link, link, link.
 

 

 

 

Polar Bear populations are of record size

 

Some say Polar Bears are threatened but there are more polar bears today than ever recorded, an increase of 300%+  since the 1950s link, link 

 

The scientific name for Polar bears is Ursus Maritimus, which means sea bear. Polar Bears are excellent swimmers and can swim 200 miles or more link.

 

A Polar Bear with a radio tracking collar swam over 400 miles in 9 days and without rest link. Polar bears have survived  periods when the Arctic melted completely in the past (they moved to land).

 

Polar bear face bright future link.
 

 

 

 

Solar activity is in decline. This has led to cooler temperatures in the past

  • So what has changed?

  • CO2 concentrations continue to increase yet temperatures have been falling since 2002? 

Polar ice is growing. Storm intensity is in decline.  

 

One reason may be that solar activity is at the lowest level in almost a Century link, link.

 

 

 

 

See what the sun looks like with and without sunspots:

 

 

 

 

In the past periods with fewer sunspots and lower solar activity were ones with cooler temperatures.

 

It is believed by some scientists that lower solar activity increases cloud formation and this has a cooling effect.  If the past is a predictor of the future, these changes in solar activity will cause a 30 year period of cooling temperatures on earth and in fact it appears that this has already begun.

 

See solar activity charts here link.

 

See the combined impact of ocean and solar cycles on global temperatures:

 

 


 

NASA recently announced that due to the expected multi decade continuation of low solar activity that global temperatures should continue to cool.

 

How much will rising CO2 levels offset this? If the past is a predictor of the future, not much.

 

Europe, North America and many other areas of the Earth have recently experienced a score of unusually low temperatures.

  • So where is the global warming that we are  preparing for?

  • Does anyone really think global warming causes global cooling?

  • Is a carbon cap and trade system that would raise hundreds of billions of dollars each year for the government necessary if in fact the slightly warmer temperatures of 1978-1998 were caused by natural forces such as the Sun's increased activity in that period, and that many scientists are now becoming skeptical of the theory of man made global warming (AGW)? link.

  • Is the re-engineering of society to reduce CO2 emissions necessary when in the geological history of the planet warming temperatures were never preceeded by rising CO2 levels?

  • Did you know that if this country eliminates 100% of its CO2 emissions China will replace it within in 2 years due to their high growth rate?

It appears to me that the man made global warming theory is looking more and more like the Y2K 'scare' of the late 1990s.