November 16, 2009
from
ZeroHedge Website
Deadly flu spreads
across Ukraine There are many aspects to this story. It is impossible to know where to begin - let alone cover all the pertinent facts in just one article.
Those who have followed my Zerohedge columns in the past may be aware the subject of pandemic
influenza has been a regular feature, precisely because there have
been multiple signs indicating a global pandemic would be exploited
(and perhaps even initiated) by governments and international banks
for political purposes. Over the past two weeks, what appears to be a particularly virulent form of the flu has been spreading in Ukraine and adjacent Eastern European countries.
This new flu is, in my opinion, a lethal new strain which has mutated (or was released). I speak with a background in virology. This new mutated flu virus appears to have a remarkable affinity for the lungs and is causing deaths to a much higher extent than the previous swine flu. Something in the virus has changed.
I have covered this incredibly important story for two weeks now in my weekly column This Week In Mayhem, which is generally published on Monday mornings.
This is very serious!
Based on previous clinical data we can expect over 8,000 to be dead or soon to be dead. Forward projection of the epidemic is difficult because the clinical attack rate is unknown - but myself and my associates remain concerned it may be quite high.
Deaths globally may be in the millions.
Let's hope this is not the case.
An example of viral pneumonia. Yeah,
fail.
To put it mildly, the lungs fill with blood. Quotes from Ukrainian officials included quotes such as "total destruction of the lungs."
Ukrainian Doctor Viktor Bachinsky has stated,
In Ukraine's western Chernovetsky region, an epicenter of the outbreak, doctors have said lab tests showed at least some of the fatalities appeared to be caused by a flu dissimilar to both common flu and swine flu. In other words, a mutant flu.
This claim of a 'mutant flu' has been echoed by
Ukrainian public health officials such as Dr. Vasyl Lazoryshynetz.
Unfortunately, as noted in the above Russia Today video, pharmacies
across the country are sold out of antivirals. To the hard of
thinking - yes, this is currently happening in Ukraine.
Reports from doctors in Belarus indicate they do not expect this deadly new flu epidemic to peak until Christmas or later. This is why it is important to analyze the situation and viral genetics now, and if necessary, contain the spread of the virus while it is still possible - something the criminals at WHO do not appear interested in doing.
These idiots at WHO have yet to release the viral gene
sequences (even though they have had them for two weeks), and are
now outright lying in their press releases, which I detail later. In
terms of how dangerous this new flu strain could potentially be, I
conducted a rough analysis of the Ukrainian government statistics,
yielding a projected case fatality rate (CFR) of 0.61% - over six
times as lethal as seasonal flu.
These reported numbers have increased substantially over the past two weeks, from near zero before Halloween to over a million as of today. It is important to remember that these statistics are not laboratory confirmed H1N1 cases (due to the state of the Ukrainian medical system), but we can cautiously assume at this point the vast majority of ARI (acute respiratory infection) in Ukraine with rapid progression to viral pneumonia are caused by influenza A virus.
This is because a large subset of these samples are coming up positive of Influenza A, and a smaller subset tested by rt-rtPCR are coming up positive for influenza A/H1N1, or what is more commonly known as 'swine flu'.
This suggests we are dealing with a viral epidemic of influenza. This is not 'swine flu' as previously known.
Statistically, the only way for this to be 'swine flu' is if
it has mutated (or if the data is wrong)... We will get to that in
a minute.
In the past two weeks, ARI have gone from near zero before Halloween to affecting 1.3 million Ukrainians. Over a million people are currently sick with probable H1N1. More importantly, there are over 75,000 total hospitalized at the time of the writing of this article, Monday 11/16. Based on these two figures (75,000/1.3 million), approximately 5.6% of those infected with this new ARI end up at the hospital.
This is the critical statistic which allows us to estimate how f*cked we actually might be. Officially, there are 299 deaths, but a realistic estimate shows this is easily one order of magnitude too low.
Realistically deaths are between 2,000 - 8,000 people from this probable new strain of the flu - so far. The number of dead is sure to rise dramatically, as we are only two weeks into this new epidemic. Which brings us to our estimation of the case fatality rate (CFR).
Again, I would love to be wrong about this.
Let's hope I am.
Seasonal flu has a CFR of 0.1%. The 1957 pandemic
had a case fatality rate of 0.5%. The deadly 1918 pandemic had a CFR
of 2 - 5%. Based on the Ukrainian government statistics, the new
mutated Ukrainian flu has a CFR of 0.61% or higher - that is, 6.1x
as lethal as seasonal flu, perhaps more. Perhaps less if our
assumptions are wrong.
Doctors, especially those in Belarus
(which is a dictatorship) feel strong administrative pressure to
label influenza viral pneumonia deaths as something else, for
example cardiac failure. Thus, ARI hospitalizations are the more reliable indicator for what
is happening on the ground. Deaths can be implied from
hospitalization statistics, assuming we are dealing with a form of
H1N1 influenza.
For a "worst case" estimate, we can assume that 25% of hospitalized flu patients will eventually die. We can use these 11% and 25% statistics to estimate the case fatality rate of the Ukrainian flu.
The method is as follows:
These objectives are rarely in the public interest.
We could spend paragraphs discussing deep corruption at WHO. One
important point to remember is their obvious complicity and criminal
cover-up regarding MMR vaccine contamination with Avian Leukosis
Virus (ALV), which may induce cancer.
Okay, let's see: Ukraine asked WHO to respond. WHO sent a team to Lviv. So far so good, despite the missing gene sequences. Now wait, what? The WHO publishes their all-star analysis...
Oh and of course the gem of this press release by WHO:
Hahahaa!
These pharmaceutical crooks damn well better explain themselves if you are going to make claims so obviously contrary to reality.
Honestly, this statement issued Friday November 13th from WHO is so obviously full of lies I really don't even have to comment; anyone with a brain can see they are not telling us the truth.
What a joke!
You'd think these fools at WHO were politicians, rather than doctors!
Twice, the WHO official dodges questions from reporters (Bloomberg nonetheless!) on whether we are dealing with a critical new mutation in Ukraine sequences responsible for higher lethality and infectivity. Unbelievable.
Again, I suggest these actions by WHO, taken in concert, are more akin to the actions of a criminal syndicate than to a global public health service. Lies and evasion. Stonewalling. Is this how we expect public servants to behave, especially on time-crucial issues upon which millions of lives depend? Unfortunately this is par for the course.
Perhaps we should re-evaluate our conception of the world in which we live. hint: it is so incredibly corrupt, it defies man's imagination.
Someone personally contacted WHO asking point-blanc,
The above speaks for itself.
I was made aware of this contact through
a phone conversation with a journalist from globalresearch.ca.
The only significant story I have noted was a story in Bloomberg. The NYT jumped on the bandwagon last Friday with a garbage fluff piece not addressing the critical questions. Furthermore, prior to these two articles, all MSM stories regarding Ukraine and flu were focusing on the internal political rivalry, rather than the rapid increase in infections and hospitalizations.
My opinion here is that the MSM has been
deliberately ignoring this story, as well as spinning it as
“insignificant” by framing it as foreign politics rather than public
health.
So where were the stories on Ukraine? What gives? Judging by all the ridiculous swine flu scare stories we've been hearing since past Spring, you'd think the mass media would jump all over the opportunity to scare the hell out of the public with the potential emergence of a new strain?
But instead, silence. The swine flu virus is a triple-triple-reassortant, with the earlier triple-reassortant being approximately one decade old.
The new H1N1 ('swine flu') emerged out of nowhere, out of season in Mexico, and went on to infect many people out of season in Spring 2009.
The virus was fit and transmissible from the start - there was no detection of sporadic community outbreaks prior to the replication coefficient exceeding 1.0, resulting in sustained transmission. So this virus emerged ready to go - whether from genetic engineering, or from natural selection. However, no farm or wild swine herd has been identified which served as the reservoir for original Mexico City outbreak.
The “patient zero” so-hyped by CNN - a
5-year old boy from La Gloria, Mexico - supposedly contracted the
infection from a swine factory farm 80km away. This, we are supposed
to believe, even though the virus was not identified in any pigs at
the factory farm. So no source has yet been identified. The origins
remain mysterious.
The H1N1 virus contains genes from multiple flu viruses - three to be precise.
These three flu viruses which comprise 'swine flu' are from multiple continents. Furthermore, a total off 4-8% of the RNA (genetic material) is entirely new, with no known match in the public gene databases. The RNA polymerase in this flu is extra-ordinarily error prone according to the University of Edinburgh, multiple times the error rate of seasonal flus.
Furthermore, the RNA polymerase is comprised of a bird-human-pig hybrid protein trimer from an earlier H3N2 triple-reassortant. This may be partly responsible for its ability to easily bridge across species.
According to Dr. Adrian Gibbs, co-creator of Tamiflu, for this virus to emerge naturally, swine would have had to pass through quarantine twice in order to acquire the necessary genetics. Once from America to Asia, with a wait time in quarantine, and then back again from Asia to America, once again with a wait time through quarantine to America.
Of course, this does not even include the pig getting the necessary flu triple coinfection after making,its journey around the world.
Even after this may have hypothetically occurred, the emergent virus was suddenly evolutionarily fit to spread in pigs, yet also genetically fit to spread in humans, yet also acquiring the necessary host-to-host contact between man and pig. If this was so, why was this not detected in any swine in Mexico prior to humans spreading the virus back to their herds?
This suggests the virus emerged in
humans first, prior to swine, which would indicate potential genetic
engineering.
A short list of of such entities and their potential objectives is provided in the second-to-last section of this article.
For further research regarding the emergence of swine flu, its genetic structure, and potential players involved, I suggest reviewing the work of Bill Sardi, who has his papers published on Lew Rockwell.com.
This terrible plague was lost to history - prior to the work of Dr. Jeffrey Taubenberger at the US Army Institute of Molecular Pathology. Approximately one decade ago, teams affiliated with the US government began digging up deceased individuals who were preserved in the Alaskan permafrost - individuals who died from the previously-extinct lethal flu from 1918.
The fragments of viral RNA were combined from various dead bodies, in order to get the full spectrum of genetic material necessary to rebuild the deadly 1918 virus. These mad scientists used OUR TAX MONEY to sequence the RNA from a constellation of genes belonging to this extraordinary lethal flu, in order to reconstruct it.
Once the entire deadly 1918 virus was sequenced, it was reconstructed from scratch using the process of reverse-genetics, and then active reconstructed 1918 viral particles were inoculated into animals - including primates - in order to study their incredibly 'lethal' effects and destruction of lung tissue.
The government has spent a huge amount
of money on programs closely related to weaponization of influenza.
This is stepping so close to biological weapons research I am astonished this much was published. If you think this Army program was somehow not involved in weaponization of influenza, then I have a bridge to sell you in Brooklyn.
They were obviously involved with
weapons research. If and how the current 'pandemic' is related is up
for debate.
In this study, the mad-scientist brain-trust affiliated with Taubenberger uses big research money funneled out from Uncle Sugar's loving tentacles, and constructs recombinant pandemic viruses in order to determine the amino acid changes responsible for virulence (lethality). In other words, these individuals are being paid to study how to make influenza more deadly.
Why?
...as well as the work of Dr. Jeffrey Taubenberger, searchable at NIH Pubmed
Additionally, we know the Ukrainian government's daily statistical updates began on October 28th 2009, when the rate of infections began to increase from a previously established baseline. What is curious is that this time frame coincides with reports of low-altitude aerial spraying in areas where the virus spread the most rapidly, particularly the Lviv region.
In fact, reports to the Ukrainian
government regarding low-altitude aerial spraying around Halloween
reached such a high incidence, the government was forced to issue an
official denial that were any aerial 'flu reduction operations' in
progress.
Clearly something interesting was going
on if the government was forced to issue an official denial and with
hundreds of eyewitness reports.
Interesting, huh?
So on Oct 31, local Ukrainian government authorities advise people to stay indoors because of anti-flu spraying, which is then followed by eyewitness reports and complaints to Kyiv and Lviv authorities of light aircraft spraying aerosols, which is then followed by repeated strong denials from government higher-ups...
Indeed, the plot thickens.
The question is rather, are these facts relevant to the situation? Related? Just rumors? I simply do not know. Your guess is as good as mine. Just another piece to the puzzle.
Our job is to determine if it fits. Last year, Chicago-based Baxter Pharmaceutical sent deadly contaminated flu vaccine to multiple sub-contractor laboratories in multiple countries - to include, at minimum Czech Republic, Slovania, Austria, and Germany.
Baxter's vaccine product was represented as H3N2 “seasonal flu” vaccine material - but this product that was somehow “accidentally” contaminated with the 30-80% deadly H5N1 'bird flu'.
Theoretically, this could have caused a
terrible global plague had this egregious mistake not been caught by
a sub-sub-contractor called Biotest in the Czech Republic, who by a
miracle decided to inject their animals, and noticed all their
laboratory ferrets contracted lethal illness after testing Baxter's
deadly vaccine material.
Again: Last year, Baxter sent out seasonal flu vaccine material to labs around the world, vaccine material which was somehow 'accidentally' mixed with deadly H5N1 bird flu!
If humans had been inadvertently exposed to this vaccine material, they could have easily contracted fatal bird flu and potentially spread it to others, resulting in a lethal global pandemic. This should never have happened, but Baxter has offered no explanation for their actions, nor the sequence of events which resulted in this deadly incident - where restricted H5N1 bird flu virus somehow left their secure facilities, and ended up in seasonal flu vaccine material.
Insanity! Now again, this should NEVER happen, because these pathogens are normally handled under BSL3 (Biosafety Level 3) procedures.
Thirty-seven people at Biotest in the Czech
Republic spent the month in quarantine because of Baxter's criminal
idiocy. At the very least, Baxter's vaccine bird flu contamination
was criminally negligent. No individuals at Baxter have been brought
to justice for this potentially deadly incident.
In August 2009, a patriot radio host (Dr. A. True Ott) on Republic Broadcast Network (RBN) received a phone call from an unidentified man with a thick Middle-Eastern accent. The man claimed to have knowledge of a large Baxter production facility in Ukraine, which he claimed was involved in producing biological weapons - particularly in the form vaccines contaminated with biologically active RNA from the H5N1 virus (sound familiar?). See above.
The man claimed Baxter would eventually
provoke a lethal global flu pandemic.
Dr. Ott asked the man his location - to
which the caller replied 'Southern California' - so Ott told the
mysterious caller (Joseph Moshe) that he would be best off taking
the documents to a US Attorney's office in downtown Los Angeles.
You have to watch the video to believe it. The media and Feds claimed Joseph Moshe made threats against the White House.
Are you kidding me? I don't buy it.
This guy was a threat to someone's
agenda. Watch this video of the incredible level of force used
against this unassuming Israeli plant scientist, and judge for
yourself what you believe.
Moshe hasn't been heard from him since this incident - we assume he is dead.
The connections between Moshe, Baxter, Ukraine, biological weapons research, and influenza, and the overwhelming use of force (microwave weapons, etc) certainly gives me pause as to what is going on here.
Moshe fingered Ukraine as the source of a potential outbreak in August 2009 - months before we see what appears to be the spread of a stronger more deadly flu strain in the country he named.
I suppose we are lucky that this time it
does not involve Baxter's
H5N1.
The truth is,
There are only a handful of individuals
who are not morally compromised.
Take a look at the actions of
Bernanke,
Paulson, or
the SEC. These are the actions of individuals and
institutions representing a corrupt purpose and objective, not
simply academics who are incompetent. This same pattern of
corruption we see in global finance is repeated across the board,
from defense contractors to pharmaceutical companies.
There are various puzzle pieces which
have accumulated, and I have attempted to paint a picture of a
rather dark reality which many will not be familiar with. My
objective is not to frighten anyone, but simply to force the hand of
the global authorities towards a more sensible outcome through
deliberate media exposure.
A new strain of H1N1 influenza is simply
the best explanation at this point in time. We may also be dealing
with false statistics from the Ukrainian government coupled with
rumors. There are other explanations as well. As we go forward,
information will slowly become more available - outside the channels
of criminal authorities, who know their time is short.
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