October 4, 2012
from EndOfTheAmericanDream Website
The Turkish Parliament has "authorized military operations" against Syria.
For now, the government of Turkey is making a clear distinction between "military operations" and "declaring war".
If Turkey were to "declare war", that would likely involve Turkish troops actually entering Syria, and the war would not be considered "won" until certain objectives are achieved.
So by just authorizing "military operations" against Syria, Turkey can sit back and fire off artillery rounds (and potentially call in air strikes if necessary) without being committed to entering Syria or attacking Damascus.
Turkey is not too keen on invading Syria by itself anyway. Turkey would want the help of NATO in such an event, and right now Barack Obama has made it abundantly clear to the Turkish government that he is not going to participate in an attack on Syria before the election.
Obama has been leading in the polls and he has way too much to lose by starting another war. But what all of this does show us is a couple of things.
First of all, once again we see that the Middle East is a tinderbox that can erupt at any moment. Second of all, just the rumors of a war between Turkey and Syria sent the price of oil absolutely skyrocketing on Thursday. It is frightening to imagine what a real war in the Middle East might do to the price of oil.
So what precipitated this move by Turkey? Well, some mortar shelling that originated from inside Syria killed five people living in a town in Turkey near the border.
The following is from a Fox News article...
There are reports that the Turkish response was actually much stronger than the mainstream news has been admitting.
According to Debka, the Turkish military was hitting Syrian military targets with "continuous artillery barrages"...
Many believe that this could end up being the excuse that NATO will use to intervene in the conflict in Syria.
Since the uprising against President Bashar Assad began, approximately 30,000 people inside Syria have been killed. It has been a very bloody conflict.
But Syria is not alone. The Assad regime still has plenty of friends. In fact, there have been reports that both Hezbollah and Iran have been moving forces into position to help defend Syria.
That is one reason why it is so important to keep a close eye on this conflict. What is starting out as a conflict between Turkey and Syria could end up drawing in the United States, the rest of NATO, Iran, Hezbollah and potentially even several other countries in the Middle East.
And if war erupts in the Middle East, the price of oil is going to go through the roof.
Just look at what happened on Thursday. The price of oil jumped about 3 dollars as reports of what was happening between Turkey and Syria reached the financial markets.
So what would happen if a full-blown war in the Middle East took place and the flow of oil was significantly disrupted? That is a bit frightening to think about.
Sometimes we need a reminder of just how fast things can change. For example, thanks to a couple of temporary refinery problems in California the price of gasoline in that state is spiking and some gas stations are actually shutting down for a while.
The average price of a gallon of gasoline in California increased by 8.3 cents on Wednesday alone. It is now sitting at $4.315, which is about 53 cents above the national average.
According to Bloomberg, the refinery problems are causing gasoline shortages and quite a few gas stations are actually shutting down their pumps for now...
And according to Fox 5 San Diego, some gas stations are being told that there will not be any more gasoline until mid-October...
Of course these problems are just temporary and things should get back to normal soon.
But what if a major war in the Middle East disrupted the supply of gasoline for an extended period of time? Our world is becoming increasingly unstable, and an event on the other side of the globe can change all of our lives in an instant.
Let us hope for peace in the Middle East, but let us also get prepared for the day when war will inevitably come.