from JHUNewsletter Website
Recovered through WayBackMachine Website
Briand compiled a graph representing percentages
of total deaths per age category
early February to early September.
Johns Hopkins published a study saying
corona is nowhere near the disaster.
They then deleted it.
Read it here in
According to new data, the U.S. currently ranks first in total COVID-19 cases, new cases per day and deaths.
Genevieve Briand, assistant program director of the Applied Economics master's degree program at Hopkins, critically analyzed the effect of COVID-19 on U.S. deaths using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in her webinar titled,
From mid-March to mid-September, U.S. total deaths have reached 1.7 million, of which 200,000, or 12% of total deaths, are COVID-19-related.
Instead of looking directly at COVID-19 deaths, Briand focused on total deaths per age group and per cause of death in the U.S. and used this information to shed light on the effects of COVID-19.
She explained that the significance of COVID-19 on U.S. deaths can be fully understood only through comparison to the number of total deaths in the United States.
After retrieving data on the CDC website, Briand compiled a graph representing percentages of total deaths per age category from early February to early September, which includes the period from before COVID-19 was detected in the U.S. to after infection rates soared.
Since COVID-19 mainly affects the elderly, experts expected an increase in the percentage of deaths in older age groups.
However, this increase is not seen from the CDC data.
In fact, the percentages of deaths among all age groups remain relatively the same.
Briand also noted that 50,000 to 70,000 deaths are seen both before and after COVID-19, indicating that this number of deaths was normal long before COVID-19 emerged.
Therefore, according to Briand,
These data analyses suggest that in contrast to most people's assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming.
To answer that question, Briand shifted her focus to the deaths per causes ranging from 2014 to 2020.
When Briand looked at the 2020 data during that seasonal period, COVID-19-related deaths exceeded deaths from heart diseases.
This was highly unusual since heart disease has always prevailed as the leading cause of deaths.
COURTESY OF GENEVIEVE
during that period in 2020 to 2018.
This trend is completely contrary to the pattern observed in all previous years.
Interestingly, as depicted in the table below, the total decrease in deaths by other causes almost exactly equals the increase in deaths by COVID-19.
This suggests, according to Briand, that,
Briand believes that deaths due to heart diseases, respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia may instead be recategorized as being due to COVID-19...
by various causes, including COVID-19.
The CDC classified all deaths that are related to COVID-19 simply as COVID-19 deaths.
Even patients dying from other underlying diseases but are infected with COVID-19 count as COVID-19 deaths.
This is likely the main explanation as to why COVID-19 deaths drastically increased while deaths by all other diseases experienced a significant decrease.
In an interview with The News-Letter, Briand addressed the question of whether COVID-19 deaths can be called misleading since the infection might have exacerbated and even led to deaths by other underlying diseases.
In other words,
Briand also mentioned that more research and data are needed to truly decipher the effect of COVID-19 on deaths in the United States.
Throughout the talk, Briand constantly emphasized that although COVID-19 is a serious national and global problem, she also stressed that society should never lose focus of the bigger picture - death in general.
According to Briand, the over-exaggeration of the COVID-19 death number may be due to the constant emphasis on COVID-19-related deaths and the habitual overlooking of deaths by other natural causes in society.
During an interview with The News-Letter after the event, Poorna Dharmasena, a master's candidate in Applied Economics, expressed his opinion about Briand's concluding remarks.
When asked whether the public should be informed about this exaggeration in death numbers, Dharmasena stated that,
However, COVID-19 should still continuously be treated as a 'deadly' disease to safeguard the vulnerable population.