by Peter Koenig
August 24,
2023
from
GlobalResearch Website
Peter Koenig
is a
geopolitical analyst and a former Senior Economist at
the World Bank and the World Health Organization (WHO),
where he worked for over 30 years around the world.
He
lectures at universities in the US, Europe and South
America.
He
writes regularly for online journals and is the author
of 'Implosion - An Economic Thriller about War,
Environmental Destruction and Corporate Greed' and
co-author of Cynthia McKinney's book 'When China
Sneezes: From the Coronavirus Lockdown to the Global
Politico-Economic Crisis' (Clarity Press - November 1,
2020).
Peter is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research
on Globalization (CRG). He is also a non-resident Senior
Fellow of the Chongyang Institute of Renmin University,
Beijing. |
"Don't
Cry for me Argentina"
Sung by Madonna
The lyrics:
It won't be easy,
you'll think it strange
When I try to explain how I feel
That I still need your love after all that I've done
You won't believe me, all you will see is a girl you once
knew
Although she's dressed up to the nines
At sixes and sevens with you
I had to let it happen, I had to change
Couldn't stay all my life down at heel
Looking out of the window, staying out of the sun
So I chose freedom, running around trying everything new
But nothing impressed me at all
I never expected it to
Don't cry for me, Argentina
The truth is, I never left you
All through my wild days, my mad existence
I kept my promise
Don't keep your distance
And as for fortune, and as for fame
I never invited them in
Though it seemed to the world they were all I desired
They are illusions, they're not the solutions they promised
to be
The answer was here all the time
I love you, and hope you love me
Don't cry for me, Argentina
Don't cry for me, Argentina
The truth is, I never left you
All through my wild days, my mad existence
I kept my promise
Don't keep your distance
Don't cry for me, Argentina
The truth is, I never left you
All through my wild days, my mad existence
I kept my promise
Don't keep your distance
Have I said too much?
There's nothing more I can think of to say to you
But all you have to do is look at me to know
That every word is true
These lyrics - melancholic and sad - may have many interpretations.
One of them - Eva
Peron, who died at the tender age of 33 in 1952, wife of
Argentine President Juan Peron (1946 to 1955 and 1973 to
1974).
Eva Peron, or Evita,
stood by the President's side. Eva was not only the spiritual leader
of Argentina, she also occupied de facto the position of Minister of
Labor and Minister of Health.
Eva was a firebrand, a rebel, for those days. Eva revolutionized
politics in Argentina. Behind the socialist flavor - as in real
social policies - that marked the term Peronism or
Peronist Movement, stood Eva Peron.
After President Peron cut off government subsidies to the
traditional Sociedad de Beneficencia (Spanish: "Aid
Society"), thereby making more enemies among the traditional elite
supporters, Eva replaced the subsidies with an Eva Perion
Foundation.
She received support and
donations from labor unions and businesses, as well as substantial
contributions from the national lottery and other funds.
Eva used these
resources to establish thousands of hospitals, schools,
orphanages, homes for the aged, and other charitable
institutions.
Eva was also largely responsible for the passage of the women's
suffrage (voting right) and she formed the Feminist Party in
1949.
Eva Peron did all that - she was only 33 years old when she
died.
Why is Eva Peron's story
important in the face of the October 2023 Parliamentary and
Presidential elections...?
This song, Don't cry for me Argentina, maybe Eva's spiritual
battle song, reminding people, her fellow Argentinians, now that she
is here, with them, that she will accompany them through these
difficult times and that her heart beats for Argentina, stronger,
much stronger than the nefarious beat, attempting once more ruining
this Great Country, of educated, smart and willing-to-work people,
and resources, for the benefits of a small elite and foreign
predators.
The same story, often
repeated throughout the world...
Eva's spirits are here,
with the People of Argentina, with this vast and beautiful country -
"Don't Cry for me, I'm with You."
Flash Forward
to 2023
When Argentine Vice-President Cristina Fernandez, wife of the
late Nestor Kirchner, officially declared last May that she
will not run for the Presidency in October 2023, it sounded like a
blow to the Peronist movement. Call it "Kirchner Peronism".
They had done a lot to
pull Argentina out from under tons and tons of debt, brought about
by US and IMF-inspired President Menem's 1991 dollarization
of Argentina's economy.
Madame Fernández, who was president in 2007-2015, made her decision
public through a statement on her website in which she slammed the
judiciary, accusing the courts of trying to forbid her from running
for office again, showing the judiciary's alliance with the
opposition.
With her decision, the center-left Fernández throws the ruling
Peronist party into disarray amid uncertainty over who could be its
candidate in this year's presidential elections.
The Menem dollarization doctrine was a no-go from the very
beginning.
No country can adopt another economy's currency without an economic
failure. It lasted 10 years before 2001 / 2002 the total downfall
occurred. Between 40% and 60% of people unemployed, from engineers,
to medical doctors, to laborers, all in the streets, some in their
finest attires, apologizing that they had to beg for money for
survival… it was one of the saddest sights to see.
The Kirchner's way of Peronism - in the image of Eva - salvaged the
country with a 200% devaluation of the Peso - detached from the
dollar in 2001.
Almost all creditors
(97%) participated and finally agreed with the negotiated debt
discount.
About 75% of the
total debt was "forgiven", including with the blessings of the
IMF.
Twenty-five percent
on average remained to be repaid over a period of ten years.
Argentina was flourishing even through the 2008/2010 worldwide
economic crisis.
Annual growth fell from
an average 10-plus percent to about 4% - 5% during the crisis and
then picked up again.
Ms. Cristina Fernandez
Kirchner, the late Nestor Kirchner's widow, was elected President
carrying out this office until 2015, leaving a recovered country -
practically a no-debt country, so to speak - to the next President
Mauricio Macri, an extreme right-wing, neoliberal "implant"
by the western elite represented by
the IMF and the financial cabal
behind the IMF.
Mr. Macri, who was Governor of Buenos Aires, won the 2015 election
against the pro-Peronist candidate, Daniel Scioli, with the
narrowest of margins of 1.4%.
Under normal
circumstances such a small margin would justify a recount. Election
fraud, was in most analysts' minds. But a recount was not granted.
There is a great
likelihood that the elections were cooked...!
Of course, logical, the
IMF and all the western creditors who lost - though by their
agreement - large amounts of money during the debt renegotiations -
wanted to recover in one way or another their piece of flesh.
So, Macri was ideal.
He immediately
plunged Argentina back into debt, by calling in the IMF, World
Bank and all the usual suspicious villains.
In no time, Argentina was
back in debt, inflation and unemployment soared, poverty, reduced
from close to 70% at the height of the 2001/2002 crisis to below 10%
when Mme. Cristina Kirchner left the presidency, back to above 40%,
in less than two years of Macri regime.
You may call this institutional milking of a nation that
worked its way out of a crisis into a comfortable middle-income
country… intentional theft by our illustrious, and yes, highly
criminal Bretton Woods institutions.
Ms. Cristina being legally pursued - not unlike Donald Trump
in the US - so she won't be seeking the Presidency anymore. Because
if she would, chances are she would win by a landslide - and bring
her country, Argentina back to the people.
Today,
the powers that be, with
bought media, is decrying Peronism
as populism… like western mainstream bashes everything that
distances itself from the hegemonic US-dictated Globalism.
Populism is being snubbed
by the elite, and by journalists paid to do so, and who have no idea
what "populism" really means, namely a political agenda addressing
the needs of the people - what better democracy than that!
With Cristina Fernandez out of the way, Peronists were not prepared
with an alternative and well-groomed candidate.
It comes thus hardly as a
surprise that the only real opposition, the ultra-right wing
Libertarian party which has an inter-country alliance with the
controversial Spanish neonazi Vox party, brings its
candidate, Javier Milei to the fore.
Javier Milei in VIVA22.
(Licensed under CC0)
Mr. Javier Milei, is an Argentine politician, calling himself an
economist.
Since December 2021,
Milei has held the position of National Deputy in Buenos Aires. He
came literally from nowhere to capture 30% of the electorate in the
primaries, and became suddenly the front-runner for the October 2023
Presidential elections.
This result has sent
shockwaves through the political establishment throughout Latin
America.
The Peronists and associated left-leaning parties have vanished; no
viable candidates; and the Peronists are not prepared to defeat the
neonazi Javier Milei, who has said he would immediately return
Argentina to full dollarization, dissolve the Argentine Central Bank
- and Argentina would become - again - a
full-fledged dollar-economy...
Milei mentioned the ever-troubled Ecuador as a shining example.
In January 2000, after a
coup, Ecuador's new ultra-conservative President Gustavo Noboa,
with the help of the IMF, adopted as Ecuador's currency the
US-dollar, giving up the Sucre, Ecuador's real currency.
Milei would certainly get
the support of the IMF and, naturally, from Washington. They would
love the riches of Argentina being dollarized.
Barely 30 years after the disastrous Menem dollarization of 1991
that led to the most catastrophic economic collapse of Latin
America's history - Milei wants to go back, embracing full
dollarization.
He says it is the only
way to fight inflation.
Of course not.
To the contrary.... The cost of living will rise, and so will
inflation - and the income, or purchasing power, of the lower income
echelons will decline even further.
According to Independent Commodity Intelligence Services (ICIS)
which covers worldwide 143 countries, Argentina's inflation is
expected to reach 147% with a decline in GDP of up to 3.5% in 2023.
With full dollarization,
Argentina may experience a very short decline in inflation (as was
the case in the early 1990s), but then - playing with fire - or with
the currency of a different economy, the cost of living will likely
soar and poverty explode until the economy collapses - when the
country is stripped of all her riches.
Reminds - again - of the song by Eva's spirit,
"Don't Cry for me,
Argentina,
"The truth is, I never left you
"All through my wild days, my mad existence
"I kept my promise…….
"There's nothing more I can think of to say to you
"But all you have to do is look at me to know
"That every word is true."
… meaning, "I'm with you,
and will not fail you."
***
Latest news, just in from the
BRICS Summit in Johannesburg, South
Africa.
The BRICS alliance,
currently 5 members (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa),
is
inviting 6 new members,
Argentina, Egypt,
Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates,
...to join the BRICS
group. See
this and
this.
This is good news for Argentina, since one of the top priorities of
the BRICS, now 11 countries, is de-dollarization. It may be
difficult for any president, including the Argentinean presidential
candidate Javier Milei to completely 'dollarize'
Argentina.
The 11 BRICS members dwarf the G7.
The new BRICS
comprise more than 50% of the world population and about 40% of
the world's GDP.
Compare this to the
G7 - 800 million population and 27% of global GDP (2022).
How much longer will
the G7 continue trying to convince the world that they
call the shots...?
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