from
EDRO Website
Below table lists the world’s cities that are likely to collapse
completely or partially by or before 2012 in the first wave of
collapse. The collapse would be caused by a combination of:
-
failing
ecosystems
-
human-enhanced environmental catastrophes
-
failing
infrastructure
-
food, water and fuel shortages
-
infectious disease
-
war, civil conflict and other dynamics...
Following the first phase of
collapse, massive waves of human migration from the affected areas
create a domino effect that causes the collapse of the remaining
population centers shortly after.
Is your city safe?
To prevent misuse of data, commercial exploitation, or property
speculation, the project coordinators are withholding names and
specific details of the first phase of world’s collapsing cities
until further notice.
See table below for general information.
Table C.1.
No. of world cities that could collapse completely or
partially by 2012,
the corresponding regions/countries and number of
people that would be affected initially, according to the worst case
future scenario.
(Sources: MSRB, CASF)
Important Notice:
1. The date “2012” is based on the dynamic model simulations
analyzing the environmental impact of excessive energy consumption.
The CASF Committee and Members do NOT endorse Mayan Calendar or any
New Age, ancient, or bible prophecies whatever.
The Dynamics of Collapse
The following exhibit lists the most probable [leading] causes that
would drive the first wave of the world cities to collapse.
[Note:
Data listed alphabetically]
-
Accumulation of toxic pollution in the environment
-
Civil conflict
-
Collapse of fisheries/fish species
-
Collapse of natural pest regulation systems
-
Deforestation
-
Desertification; Soil degradation (salination, erosion, loss of
topsoil and fertility)
-
Droughts
-
Economic collapse
-
Epidemics of plant and animal diseases
-
Extreme climatic events (including extreme rain events, floods)
-
Failing ecosystems
-
Famine
-
Food-borne, waterborne, airborne and insect-borne infectious diseases
(viral, bacterial, parasitic, fungal, prion)
-
Fuel shortage
-
Global collapse of pollinators
-
Habitat destruction
-
Human-enhanced natural catastrophes including earthquakes, floods,
tsunamis, hurricanes, tropical storms, cyclones, extreme rainfall
events, landslides, volcanic eruptions, droughts and wildfires …
-
Human-induced climate change
-
Increased UV radiation
-
Industrial accidents (including radionuclide, chemical and oil
spills)
-
Inordinate prevalence of psychopathology caused by exponential
growth economy: money fetishism, industrialism, militarism, atomic
lifestyles, consumerism, throwaway culture, dysfunctional societies
…
-
Land use change
-
Mass suicide as a result of neurological disorder caused by mercury
[or other heavy metal] poisoning.
-
Moral decline (unethical behavior, unsustainable lifestyles,
over-consumption)
-
Overshoot of Carrying Capacity; Increased ecological footprint;
Overpopulation (esp. DCs
*)
-
Overwhelmed by mounting waste: agricultural, municipal (garbage and
sewage) and industrial
-
Poor global harvest/Food scarcity [Humans are one harvest away from
starvation!]
-
Poverty
-
Running Dry (Running out of freshwater)
-
Sinking into the ground (large-scale subsidence caused by overuse of
groundwater supplies)
-
Societal collapse
-
Spread of pandemic diseases
-
Tourism [euphemistically, eco-tourism]
-
War (conventional and nuclear)
* DCs: Developed Countries
Related Links
Early Warning Signs
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