Climate models have been getting more and more
sophisticated as the power of supercomputers has
increased exponentially over the last few years.
But have all the variables been factored in? A machine
is only as good as the person that builds it, after all.
Now a new research paper has found some very strange
temperature differences in the Eastern Pacific Ocean
between
climate models and observed ‘real world'
measurements.
State-of-the-art climate models generally project
enhanced warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific.
But
now we're heading into
the third year of enhanced
eastern Pacific ocean cooling, aka La Niña.
The study (Systematic
Climate Model biases in the Large-scale Pattern of
recent Sea-surface Temperature and Sea-level Pressure
Change) investigated the ability of 16 climate model
large ensembles to reproduce observed sea-surface
temperature and sea-level pressure trends over
1979–2020.
So, what's going on...?