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by Katrina Manson Article also HERE
WIRED Staff;
Getty Images the AI initiative known as Project Maven had its fair share of skeptics at the Pentagon. Today, many of them are true believers.
In 2018, more than 3,000 Google workers protested the company's involvement in "the business of war" after finding out the company was part of Project Maven, then a nascent Pentagon effort to use computer vision to rifle through copious video footage taken in America's overseas drone wars.
They feared Project Maven's AI could one day be used for lethal targeting.
But that didn't slow its forward march.
Today, the tool known as Maven Smart System is being used in US operations against Iran. How the US military's top brass moved from skepticism about the use of AI in war to true believers has a lot to do with a Marine colonel named Drew Cukor.
Now Project Maven's founding leader and his skeptical successor were standing face-to-face.
Colonel Cukor, an intense Marine intelligence officer described to me by one of his seniors as "a one-man wrecking ball" who took on military orthodoxy, defense bureaucracy and the pursuit of AI warfare to his own cost, was wrapping up his five years as Project Maven's chief.
He worried about record-keeping and accountability when it came to involving AI in targeting, and he expressed strong doubt that Project Maven was worth the billion dollars Congress had already spent on it, much of which had gone to Silicon Valley's controversial upstart darling:
When Whitworth took charge of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency in June 2022 and became responsible for the future of Project Maven following Cukor's departure, he still worried that Project Maven was overpriced, overhyped, and incautious about the targeting principles he most cared about.
Whitworth could have shut the program down in a heartbeat.
The future of Cukor's baby looked increasingly in doubt.
I would come to see Cukor as a leading historical figure in a war that hasn't happened yet.
That seemed to be what almost everyone to do with Project Maven thought, whether they feted or hated him.
Alex Karp, Palantir's chief executive, referred approvingly to Cukor as "crazy Cukor" and called him,
After his showdown with Whitworth, Cukor told others:
But now, more than two years into leading the NGA and more than two years into Russia's war against Ukraine, rather than abandoning Maven, Whitworth praised the program.
...he assured Cukor at the September 2024 event.
Maven Smart System - the software platform built by Palantir that brought together disparate battlefield and other data on a digital map and displayed AI detections that could be deployed in targeting - was adaptable.
Cukor thought Whitworth had come to understand why the US needed to bring AI into the targeting cycle. (The portion of Maven's $250 million annual budget that went to NGA may also have helped, he thought.)
Under Whitworth, Maven would have its coming-out party, emerging from years of secrecy tightly maintained under Cukor in the wake of the Google protests.
Six months earlier, deciding to shoot comprised the shortest element of the targeting cycle.
Now every other part of the cycle was so close to being automated, and so compressed in time, that deciding to shoot was the lengthiest part. Internal documentation referred to Maven ATR:
In public, Whitworth started describing Maven as his agency's,
A few days after he spoke with Cukor, Whitworth stepped onto a stage for a livestreamed Palantir customer event. He could hardly have cut a stronger contrast with the Palo Alto crowd:
In his high-shine formal black shoes, he stood in front of a cabinet displaying colorful Nike sneakers.
His talk on Maven Smart System followed directly after two other Palantir customers, one who leased railcars and another who supplied automotive seating. War was now just another business process, sandwiched between sales and health care.
Amit Kukreja, a prominent Palantir commentator, investor, and fan of the company's "merch," was narrating the event live off to the side. He described it as a "new and special" moment for Palantir's retail investors to learn about the company's government work.
Even Karp appeared taken aback.
Palantir had already won an Army contract with a $480 million ceiling for Maven Smart System that spring, and later would win another to supply the system to all military services in September for up to $100 million.
In spring 2025, the Pentagon's contract ceiling for Maven Smart System was raised to $1.3 billion, due to run until 2029. And NATO said it would become a customer for Maven Smart System too.
Ten NATO customers were thinking about buying the system for their own country. The UK would reportedly sign a £750 million (roughly $1 billion) deal for Palantir's military AI tools during a high-profile state visit from Donald Trump in September 2025.
A cursor click revealed a group of tanks over a "notional" demonstration map of Kherson in Ukraine.
The tanks were four clicks from evisceration.
Palantir's Target Workbench popped up. Two more clicks established the tank group's height, latitude, and longitude; and then paired the target with an "effector" (in this case an F-22A fighter jet 82 miles away).
One more click and a green tick flashed up:
Nearly a year later, on a hot day in the high summer of 2025, I stepped into NGA's headquarters at the Fort Belvoir Army Base in northern Virginia.
It was my second visit to the spy agency HQ, and I wanted to find out why Whitworth had changed his mind, how much Maven had spread, and how Maven's new backers saw the risks and rewards of mainstreaming AI into military workflows.
And the NGA had launched a $708 million contract for data labeling in support of Maven's computer vision models, the largest such appeal in US history, that would ultimately go not to self-made billionaire Alexandr Wang's Scale AI but to Enabled Intelligence, a startup focused on hiring people on the autism spectrum expert in pattern recognition and comfortable with repetitive work.
Courteous background checks and vetting; no phone, laptop, or smartwatch allowed; and one step more curious: writing down not only the make and model, but also the serial number inscribed on my tape recorder, which I resolved never to use again for any interview after the visit.
More than 8,500 personnel worked at headquarters, but I was there to meet four particular NGA officials.
Each, in their own way, was deeply involved in the development, standards, and spread of Maven. It was, I was told, unprecedented for them to gather all in one room to brief a journalist on Maven, and I was eager to hear what was at stake for them.
After he saw how easy it was to integrate the system into combat scenarios, it didn't take long for him to change his mind:
Far from being sheepish about ushering in a new age of AI warfare, its midwives wanted their names stamped over it.
Some had become quite "ornery" in pursuit of credit, one NGA official said.
I wondered if NGA wanted its fair share, mindful that some advising the second Trump administration wanted to wrest control of Maven and AI away from NGA and back into the Pentagon
The NGA officials walked me through Maven's developments since the agency took over most of it two years before.
Five of eight Maven initiatives, including analyzing drone feeds and satellite imagery, ended up with NGA. Whitworth wanted to expand the scope and capabilities of his agency in line with the expansion of ubiquitous global sensors.
AI relied on data, and that required global surveillance to deliver it. While NSA could listen in to the world, NGA could watch it. Whitworth made clear he wanted to do that in minute, constant detail - surveilling the entire globe, at all times.
NGA previously gave me a demonstration showing how AI could flag military construction in China - such as the arrival of a new rail depot at a missile base.
NGA kept track of all movement at 49,000 airfields around the world. Whitworth even wanted to put GPS, or a similar navigation system, on the moon. And if GPS got jammed or hacked, he wanted other ways to map space too:
The US war horse wanted omniscience, omnipresence, and omnipotence.
The lines were still blurred:
Throughout 2024, Whitworth drummed up new users for the platform.
He rang combatant commanders in every region to tell them what NGA was adding, shopping Maven's latest features. Addressing criticism I'd come across, he insisted that Maven was useful not only in Europe, but also in the Indo-Pacific, and for moving targets as well as static targets.
General Erik Kurilla had started using the platform "extensively" in support of US weapon strikes, once he took over US Central Command in April 2022.
He hired former Google AI expert Andrew Moore, and spent much of 2023 practicing how to get through a thousand targets a day, cooperating with the UK and others in a series of experimental 90-day sprints.
Here would be the first real US test of AI at war on a large scale.
Brigadier General John Cogbill, CENTCOM's deputy director of operations - who served under Kurilla, including at the 75th Ranger Regiment - put it this way:
In February 2024, the command used Maven Smart System to locate rocket launchers in Yemen and unmanned surface vessels in the Red Sea.
Moore told me Maven's AI helped narrow down more than 85 targets that US bombers and fighter aircraft subsequently struck in Iraq and Syria, in reprisal for the death of three US service members in Jordan the month before.
It was public confirmation that the US military was using AI to identify enemy systems for its own weapons to strike.
By 2024, the command had 179 different live data feeds from land, sea, air, space, and cyber pouring into Maven Smart System. CENTCOM is using it most, Whitworth told me.
That region alone had 13,000 accounts, with 2,500 people counting as regular users who log in "at least a few times a week," said Rear Admiral Liam Hulin, a former commander of SEAL Team 3, who was now deputy director of operations at CENTCOM.
Maven could also discern the nearest available weapons, the most suitable ones for the task, flying time, weapons loading details, and the whereabouts of personnel and partners.
Kurilla himself could keep track of all this from a plane:
Soon he'd be picking Maven Smart System as his topic of choice for his lecture at Capstone, the military's in-house "charm school" at the National Defense University, to guide newly promoted generals.
AI was getting better all the time, but it was tricky, he said, because of hallucinations, "all kinds of AI ethics," and the chance that the data inputs or the algorithm could lead military operators "to the wrong conclusion."
But he had also come to admire Maven Smart System as a "phenomenal" platform at the theater level, and wanted AI to help run the entire fire control system.
AI mattered to Miller because of the "superhuman" speed and scale it could bring to combat operations.
Kurilla told Congress in June 2025 that feedback was improving the command's software suite. I learned that the US used Maven during the 12-day Iran-Israel war that occurred just five days later.
Maven wasn't favored as an intelligence platform but was regularly being used for operations. A single targeting cell could now go from sensing a target to shooting it within minutes, down from hours before. Maven could also detect and track ballistic missile launches headed toward Israel.
Mavenites stayed up overnight working on the
digital infrastructure for Maven when Iran sent 200 missiles toward
Israel in October 2024.
The agency had accumulated 1 billion AI detections in its computer vision data store, one official later informed me. Maven was detecting objects nearly five times as fast now too.
The models were improving during 2025 "by leaps and bounds," Whitworth told me. "All the serious people are using the AI, because they go straight to the hardest thing, which is target development."
Commanders were using AI to characterize the environment, just to understand what was going on, and for targeting, he said.
I learned separately, from nonpublic documents I reviewed, that in the two years to 2025, Maven found its way into 141 exercises and experiments.
It was in more than 130 sites,
It was at two sites in the UK. It was analyzing data collected over China and North Korea, Kazakhstan and Myanmar, Pakistan and Russia.
For a time during 2025, Maven had people based permanently in Japan, Germany, and Qatar, and would rotate people through Jordan, Djibouti, the Republic of Korea, and Poland.
A team assisted with all six military services, supporting more than 20 units on four continents and with seven combatant commands.
These dealt with Europe, Africa, the Indo-Pacific, the Middle East, Special Operations Command, and Space Command. Cukor's dream was coming true, and NGA was now urging on the users. The code could be changed in a day.
Maven was not operational at the two domestic commands responsible for tracking the Chinese spy balloon that in early 2023 stoked alarm when it flew into US airspace (and which the US eventually shot down over the eastern seaboard after it passed across the entire country).
But in 2024, NORTHCOM, the command for homeland defense, and NORAD, the military command run jointly with Canada to watch for incoming air and sea threats, both adopted Maven.
By the time Whitworth and Cukor were eyeballing each other over canapés, the adoption was complete. Maven Smart System helped display and track movements by Russian and Chinese military, and other aircraft coming near the US. By 2025, the two commands had 2,000 daily users, Rizzo told me.
The day Rizzo spoke to me, Maven had made 850 million computer vision detections when he logged in that morning.
As national security policy shifted under the second Trump administration in 2025, so did the uses of Maven. It became a tool for detecting border crossings and was potentially relevant for the "armed conflict" that Trump told Congress he was unleashing on alleged narco-terrorists in the Caribbean.
Maven could detect and flag just about anything - drug runners, hobbyist balloons, military vessels, people.
It was detecting people trying to cross the southern border, Rizzo told me. In September 2025, an NGA official told me Maven was helping with Customs and Border Protection and with the US Coast Guard.
That was the same month that US Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) started carrying out lethal strikes against Venezuelan vessels, alleging that the targets they obliterated were smuggling drugs - and prompting criticism that the US was executing people without trial and risking war crimes. ("I don't give a shit what you call it," Vice President JD Vance retorted in a social media post.)
By early December, the US would strike 23 boats, killing 87 people, including two shipwrecked survivors.
(Stanley now leads the Pentagon's Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office.)
Since then the practice had only increased. An NGA official told me that Maven assisted,
The official declined to give a timeline or describe the vessels or interdictions further. The official did say, though, that NGA could identify the vessels three times as fast as humans.
NGA has previously undertaken such a role in support of the National Guard in stemming wildfires, but not through NGA Maven, according to the NGA official.)
Nevertheless, some thought the move was a quintessential example of imperial boomerang, the theory developed by 1950s intellectual Aimé Césaire that a colonial power using oppressive techniques overseas would eventually bring them home.
The US could end up with a well-equipped military "optimized for domestic warfare," argued one commentator worried by the deployment of hi-tech troops to US streets.
Maven had quickly become all-encompassing. It was now how NORAD "talked" to other commands all over the globe, knitting up the same view of the world with INDOPACOM and EUCOM.
That was extremely useful for communication and speed, but there was also a chance that relying so much on Maven for a common view of America - and the world - could go very wrong, he warned.
...he laughed, referring to the fictional supercomputer in WarGames, the 1983 movie in which Matthew Broderick plays a computer hacker who nearly triggers World War III when he accesses a newly automated NORAD system that can launch nuclear strikes against the Soviet Union.
And Palantir officials scoffed when I asked if Maven Smart System was a weapons system.
Even though a single click could send coordinates through a tactical data link to a specific weapons platform so that it could fire at the target, they pushed back:
And when I asked General Christopher Donahue, an army commander who returned to Europe at the end of 2024 with his fourth star, if Maven was a weapons system, he was clear-cut:
And he expected more:
When I visited NGA headquarters in June 2025, one of the four officials I met asserted that there were still humans in the loop.
But General Donahue's point about the direction of travel was well founded: The Defense Department's policy on autonomy has nothing to say about having a human involved. It states only that "appropriate levels of human judgment over the use of force" are required.
Probasco advocates for scaling up the use of Maven throughout the US military, but wants the Defense Department to take training more seriously.
As a fire control officer stationed on a Navy destroyer in San Diego in 2006, Probasco says she was less interested in the medals she was awarded than in the letter she kept from her captain giving her the authority to shoot the AEGIS weapons system, a centralized, automated total weapon system designed to go "from detection to kill."
In 1988, a US Navy warship deployed the AEGIS system and erroneously shot down an international passenger plane on its way to Dubai, killing all 290 civilians on board.
AEGIS registered it as an enemy fighter jet, even though its route and radio signature matched with a civilian airliner.
Years later, a similar job fell to Probasco to determine whether or not her ship would send out lethal Tomahawk cruise missiles. That kind of responsibility weighed heavily on her.
She wants those using Maven and the AI it relies on to understand the responsibility they have too.
Back then, she spent a month in a defense schoolhouse learning how to use the AEGIS system, when to use it, and under what circumstances it will go wrong.
Those using Maven - more than five years after Maven Smart System was rolled out - undergo no such training, despite the multiple ways and circumstances under which AI fails.
That's not OK, in her view. Lots of people are playing with the system now, but all in different ways. Maven's Target Workbench has grown to encompass weapons pairing, and prioritization is already underway.
The arrival of autonomous AI agents (also known as agentic AI) - which go much further than chatbots by carrying out tasks unsupervised - as well as the improvement of reasoning models - which break complex problems down into smaller steps and have extensive data access inside a specific system to carry out tasks independently in pursuit of a goal - will only make that process go faster.
Maven, she said, has run into what she calls,
Plenty of targeting experts argued to me that Maven shouldn't be considered a targeting tool, never mind a weapon. It's a helpful guide to develop targets that must be corroborated with other more precise locational detail, they argued.
Even so, these targeting experts conceded that Maven has unofficially been used for targeting.
Right now the US is funding tech, but not the development of the ideas or training for how to use it.
AI agents based on large language models (LLMs) could start to generate orders, undertake battle damage assessments, and strip out highly classified information so the remainder could be shared with allies.
Maven's AI had already sped up the pace of war.
An NGA official told me that with the help of Maven's computer vision the US went from being able to hit under a hundred targets a day to being able to hit a thousand.
Now, as LLMs were integrated into the Maven platform, the official told me processes were speeding up and that number had risen fivefold to 5,000 targets a day.
He knew AI targeting would succeed or fail based on keeping careful records about model development, and who supervised model development.
Under his watch, NGA started allocating each AI model an assessment card to indicate what it might be good at and where it might fail, depending on the level of autonomy and secrecy of the mission.
By the time of Whitworth's retirement in mid-November 2025, his agency had accredited two AI models, one used by Maven and one by another (unidentified) intelligence agency.
In January 2026, the second Trump administration announced its new military AI strategy focused on becoming an "'AI-First' warfighting force," eager to enlist and accelerate AI agents for campaign planning, kill chains, and more.
In March 2026, the US Army started integrating Maven Smart System into its training regimens. That same month, a Pentagon memo noted Maven Smart System would become a program of record by the end of September.
O'Callaghan meant of course that NGA was encouraging widespread adoption of Maven and AI targeting.
But the phrase he used, "drinking the Kool-Aid," has a grim origin: It refers to the imitation fruit drink laced with cyanide, Valium, and several other drugs that an American cult leader mixed up in a vat and gave to his followers in Guyana in 1978.
Everyone who drank it died...
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